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University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low in April Amid Rising Inflation Expectations

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index fell to 47.6 in April, marking its lowest level on record and a 10.7% decline from March. Inflation expectations rose, with one-year outlook reaching 4.8%, the highest since August 2025. The survey reflects conditions primarily from March, with respondents citing the Iran conflict as a factor.

The New York Times
CNBC
3 sources·Apr 11, 2:14 PM(2 days ago)·1m read
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low in April Amid Rising Inflation ExpectationsBartholomew, Charles Lewis 'Bart', 1869-1949 / Wikimedia (Public domain)
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Consumer Sentiment Reaches Record Low The University of Michigan's headline index of consumer sentiment fell to 47.

6 in April, according to data released by the university. 7% decline from March and marks the lowest level on record. The current conditions index saw a double-digit monthly decline in April, while the expectations index also experienced a double-digit monthly decline.

8% in a year from April. The one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.5%, up one percentage point from March and the highest since August 2025, while remaining below double-digit levels seen in prior decades. 2 percentage point from March. This five-year figure was one percentage point below the level of a year ago.

Survey Respondents Cite Iran Conflict Joanne Hsu noted that many respondents attributed economic concerns to the Iran conflict, an external factor, with most interviews conducted before the April 7 ceasefire.

She added that most interviews for the University of Michigan survey were completed before the April 7 ceasefire. Hsu stated that the University of Michigan survey primarily reflects conditions from March.

March CPI Data Shows Inflation Rise The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the all-items consumer price index rose 0.

9% in March. 3%. Bureau of Labor Statistics officials stated that most of the increase in the headline consumer price index number came from the surge in energy prices in March. Bureau of Labor Statistics officials stated that food inflation was little changed in March.

Story Timeline

5 events
  1. April 2026

    University of Michigan consumer sentiment index falls to 47.6, lowest on record.

    1 sourceUniversity of Michigan
  2. April 7, 2026

    Ceasefire in Iran conflict occurs, after most survey interviews completed.

    1 sourceJoanne Hsu
  3. March 2026

    Consumer price index rises 0.9%, leading to 12-month inflation rate of 3.3%.

    1 sourceBureau of Labor Statistics
  4. August 2025

    One-year inflation expectation reaches level last seen in University of Michigan survey.

    1 sourceUniversity of Michigan
  5. April 2025

    One-year inflation outlook at 6.5% following President Donald Trump's tariff announcement.

    1 sourceUniversity of Michigan

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    Stable food inflation provides some relief in overall price pressures.

  2. 02

    Rising short-term inflation expectations could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions.

  3. 03

    Declining consumer sentiment may reduce spending on non-essential goods.

  4. 04

    Energy price surges contributing to CPI may persist if geopolitical tensions continue.

  5. 05

    Survey reflecting March conditions suggests sentiment may improve post-ceasefire.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced3 — 3/3 share a lean
Framing risk0/100 (low)
Confidence score65%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI (grok-4-fast-non-reasoning)
Word count241 words
PublishedApr 11, 2026, 2:14 PM

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