Long COVID Projected to Cost OECD Countries €58.54 Billion to €115.3 Billion Annually Over Next Decade
A report estimates that long COVID could lead to annual economic losses of €58.54 billion to €115.3 billion across OECD countries, including 21 EU member states, through 2035. These losses stem from reduced labor participation and productivity. Direct healthcare costs are expected to remain at €9.5 billion per year until at least 2035.
EuronewsEconomic Projections for Long COVID Long COVID could cost between €58.
3 billion annually across OECD countries, including 21 EU member states, in the next decade, according to recent findings reported by Euronews. Projections to 2035 indicate that under optimistic assumptions, GDP losses from long COVID may fall to negligible levels. 2% of GDP.
2% from long COVID are comparable to the entire annual health budget of the Netherlands or Spain, the report stated. 5 billion a year until at least 2035. The continuing burden of long COVID arises mainly from reduced labour participation and productivity losses.
Health Impacts and Affected Populations Infection with the SARS-CoV-2 virus increases the risk of developing cardiovascular conditions, diabetes, neurological impairments, and autoimmune disorders, the report noted.
Long COVID can harm nearly every organ system, provoking symptoms like brain fog, fatigue, and general pain. Less than 1% of the population of EU and OECD countries is expected to suffer from long COVID over the next 10 years. Around 75 million people had long COVID in 2021 worldwide.
In 2021, parts of Eastern and Central Europe were the most affected by long COVID. 2 million people in Czechia were living with long COVID.
Workforce and Socio-Economic Effects Patients with long COVID are dropping out of the workforce, absent, or less productive at work because of ill health, five years after the pandemic began.
Long COVID leads to employment disruption in around one in five affected workers. Chronic conditions such as stroke and multiple sclerosis generate most of their costs through healthcare spending and informal care. 8 billion a year, according to the OECD report.
If the estimated losses from long COVID were compared with the economic burden of stroke, the cost to Europe would be around €60 billion. Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands have structured plans that outline the main steps in the care of patients with long COVID.
Story Timeline
4 events- 2026
Approximately 1.1 million people in Bulgaria, 1.4 million in Hungary, and 1.2 million in Czechia living with long COVID
1 sourceEuronews - 2021
Around 75 million people had long COVID worldwide; parts of Eastern and Central Europe most affected
1 sourceEuronews - 2021-2035
Projections show GDP losses from long COVID falling to negligible under optimistic assumptions or 0.1-0.2% under realistic scenarios
1 sourceEuronews - Next decade to 2035
Annual costs of €58.54 billion to €115.3 billion across OECD countries; healthcare costs at €9.5 billion per year
1 sourceEuronews
Potential Impact
- 01
Sustained healthcare spending at €9.5 billion annually straining budgets
- 02
Increased prevalence in Eastern Europe with 1.1-1.4 million cases in Bulgaria, Hungary, Czechia
- 03
Reduced GDP growth in OECD countries due to 0.1-0.2% annual losses
- 04
Workforce dropout and productivity decline affecting one in five long COVID patients
- 05
Comparable socio-economic burden to multiple sclerosis or stroke, costing €2.7-€60 billion in select countries
Transparency Panel
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