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Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher began discussions in November on options to alter negative gearing, the capital gains tax discount and trusts. The moves would reverse election commitments made by Albanese.
The discussions took place in the government's priority and delivery committee, a small group that meets as needed at The Lodge or in the prime minister's office. The committee is smaller than the national security committee or the budget review group.
Albanese had previously ruled out changes to negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount during the campaign. On April 9 he stated: “Yes. How hard is it? ” when asked to guarantee no changes. By the end of the year, calculations had shifted.
Albanese told Chalmers and Gallagher to develop options over the summer. The goal was to address housing affordability, particularly for middle-aged and younger voters. Albanese had planned to outline the case for change in a speech on intergenerational inequality around Australia Day.
Those plans were disrupted by a terrorist attack at Bondi Beach in which two Islamic extremists killed more than a dozen people. Albanese's response to the attack affected his approval ratings. One Nation rose in opinion polls, drawing support from both conservative voters and about one in ten Labor voters.
In late February, U.S. The Reserve Bank raised interest rates three times to address rising inflation. In March, Chalmers stated he did not see the conflict as a reason to slow down but rather to advance further on the housing agenda. Albanese delivered a delayed speech to the press club on April 2.
In an interview, Chalmers said the international events had required some budget adjustments but that the government still intended to proceed with much of its agenda. Gallagher, who works closely with both men, said Albanese had considered the decision over several months.
>"He’s the leader of the government, so if it wasn’t for him we wouldn’t be doing it. She rejected the idea of a single moment of decision, saying he weighs multiple factors continuously. Labor figures cited the experience of reversing stage three tax cuts as evidence that explaining policy can overcome criticism of broken promises.
The government is expected to include changes in the upcoming budget. Economists have said the housing measures are likely to have only a modest effect on prices. The Grattan Institute has stated that grandfathering changes to negative gearing may exacerbate intergenerational inequality.
Background to the Policy Shift After the election, Albanese described the party platform as the foundation of the government's mandate but added that it did not represent the limit of its responsibilities. He consulted with senior colleagues including Richard Marles, Penny Wong, Mark Butler and Tim Ayres before directing work on tax changes.
The discussions occurred against a backdrop of voter pessimism and competition from the Greens on housing affordability.
Rising fuel prices and interest rate increases created a more challenging environment for new spending or tax measures. Despite this, Chalmers indicated the government would continue to pursue its housing objectives.
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