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Bernstein Research Sets Long-Term Oil Price Target at $75 per Barrel

Bernstein Research has set a $75 per barrel long-term oil price target for equity valuations. The firm based the target on a survey of the 50 largest energy companies and cited rising marginal costs and falling reserves.

OilPrice.com
1 source·May 28, 5:30 PM(23 hrs ago)·1m read
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Bernstein Research Sets Long-Term Oil Price Target at $75 per Barrelfinance.yahoo.com
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Wall Street firm Bernstein Research has set a long-term oil price target of $75 per barrel for equity valuations. The target reflects rising marginal costs and declining reserves, according to a survey of the 50 largest energy companies worldwide.

Bernstein analyst Neil Beveridge stated that higher spot prices and a tightening physical market are feeding inflation into the supply chain. The survey projects the global marginal cost of oil will rise to $77 per barrel. The cost had fallen 2 percent to $69 per barrel in 2025 because of lower production expenses.

4 years, below the historical average of 13 years. The global industry reinvestment ratio has increased to 61 percent, up from a 36 percent low in 2022 but still below the historical range of 80 percent to 90 percent.

Key Facts

$75 per barrel
Bernstein long-term oil price target
$77 per barrel
Projected global marginal cost of oil
10.4 years
Current average reserve life, 20-year low
61 percent
Current global industry reinvestment ratio

Story Timeline

3 events
  1. May 28, 2026

    Bernstein Research published its long-term oil price target of $75 per barrel.

    1 sourceOilPrice.com
  2. 2025

    Global marginal cost of oil declined 2 percent to $69 per barrel.

    1 sourceOilPrice.com
  3. 2022

    Global industry reinvestment ratio reached a low of 36 percent.

    1 sourceOilPrice.com

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    Energy companies may adjust capital budgets to reflect higher projected production costs.

  2. 02

    Equity analysts could revise valuation models for oil producers using the new target.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced1
Confidence score75%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count139 words
PublishedMay 28, 2026, 5:30 PM
Bias signals removed1 across 1 outlet
Signal Breakdown
Speculative 1

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