Bolsonaro Sentenced to 27 Years for Coup Attempt; Son Announces Presidential Bid

Polls show improving chances for Democrats to win Senate control in 2026. Polling and fundraising look good for Democrats in critical Senate contests. A few months ago, prevailing thinking in Washington held that Republicans' Senate majority was secure for the 2026 midterms.

Democrats need to upset four GOP incumbents to win Senate control. President Donald Trump won some states by double-digit margins in 2024. Democratic Senate contenders are leading or statistically tied in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio, according to recent polls.

Kalshi gave Republicans a 67% chance of keeping the Senate majority at the start of 2026. As of April 29, 2026, Kalshi shows Republicans' chance at 51%. Democrats must hold seats in Georgia and Michigan, plus a competitive race in New Hampshire.

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen opted out of seeking reelection in New Hampshire. In Q1 2026, Democratic contenders raised more than Republicans in four GOP-held seats, according to Federal Election Commission records.

8 million in Q1 2026, while Mike Whatley raised $5 million. An April 29, 2026, survey by Opinion Diagnostics shows Roy Cooper leading Mike Whatley by 9 points. Trump won North Carolina by about three percentage points in 2024.

In Alaska, Trump won by 13% in 2024. 7 million. 5% margin of error.

Jon Husted holds a 3-point advantage over Sherrod Brown, according to a Bowling Green State University poll. 5 million through campaign and groups in Q1 2026. 7 million across groupings in Q1 2026.

Joni Ernst decided against seeking reelection in Iowa. Make America Great Again, Inc. held a $600 million lead over Future Forward in combined funds. Republicans need a 50-seat caucus with Vice President JD Vance's tie-breaking vote to retain Senate control.

Sen. Tim Scott is chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. There was a third attempt on Trump's life this month as of April 27, 2026. James Talarico raised $27 million in Q1 2026.

A University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll shows James Talarico leading John Cornyn and Ken Paxton. Susan Collins is facing reelection in Maine. Kamala Harris won Maine in 2024. Sen. Tim Scott spoke to Maine Republicans at their April 24, 2026, convention.

Janet Mills and Graham Platner were in a Democratic primary in Maine. 1 million.

Trump won Michigan by less than two percentage points in 2024. There is a three-way Democratic primary in Michigan between Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow. 18 a gallon this week as of May 2026, according to AAA data.

An Associated Press-NORC Research Center survey released April 29, 2026, shows 30% approval for Trump's economy handling. Trump's economy approval decreased 8 points from March 2026 in the AP-NORC poll.