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Conservative Candidates Advance in Latin American Elections on Crime Platforms
Several conservative candidates have advanced or won recent elections in Latin America by emphasizing tough-on-crime policies. Crime rates show mixed trends, with homicide declines in some areas and increases in extortion and drug-related violence in others.
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Conservative candidates have gained ground in recent Latin American elections by focusing on crime reduction through expanded policing and stricter enforcement measures.
Colombia, pro-Trump businessman Abelardo de la Espriella leads polls ahead of Sunday's runoff election. In Peru, Keiko Fujimori advanced to a June 7 presidential runoff after securing the largest vote share in April's first round. Costa Rica elected conservative populist Laura Fernández in February on a tough-on-crime platform. U.S. President Donald Trump.
6 per 100,000 people last year, down more than 5% from 2024, according to InSight Crime. Peru recorded 2,400 homicides and Colombia recorded 14,780 homicides last year, both highs since at least 2020. Ecuador reported 9,216 killings, a 31% increase from 2024.
Extortion cases in Ecuador reached 16,100 last year. 7 per 100,000 people in 2022 before declining, but kidnappings rose nearly 180% over four years.
Bukele's approach to incarceration inspired candidates in multiple countries. Candidates proposed building larger prisons, deploying military forces, and increasing deportations. Proposals from left-leaning politicians for community programs and judicial reforms have lost support as voters seek quicker results.
U.S. Adam Isacson of the Washington Office on Latin America stated that right-wing proposals address voter concerns about immediate safety.
