Conservative Economists Define Inflation as Currency Shrinkage
Forbes contributor John Tamny argues that inflation refers to a decline in currency value rather than excessive economic growth. The article contrasts this view with Keynesian interpretations linking government spending to price increases.
ForbesForbes contributor John Tamny stated that inflation once meant evidence of currency shrinkage but has been redefined by economists as too much economic growth. Tamny wrote that the redefinition implies acceptance of the Keynesian view that government spending accelerates economic growth.
He referenced former President Biden's 2021 stimulus spending of nearly $2 trillion as an example cited by economist Larry Summers.
U.S. states. He said these events preceded later price increases. Tamny described the position of the Wall Street Journal editorial page under Robert Bartley and George Melloan as aligned with Say's Law, which holds that all consumption is preceded by production and that governments produce nothing.
Tamny stated that a recent Wall Street Journal editorial attributed the inflation spike to Federal Reserve policy choices under Jerome Powell, including accommodation of federal spending and low interest rates for too long. He said the analysis combined Keynesian multiplier theory with Phillips Curve thinking.
Tamny pointed out that the WSJ Dollar Index showed no notable decline from 2020 to 2022. He asked what conservatives mean by inflation given the absence of currency depreciation against foreign currencies or gold. "What fractures globalized production naturally results in higher prices just as what integrates global production naturally results in lower prices.
Key Facts
Story Timeline
3 events- 2020
President Trump signed a $3 trillion coronavirus bill that subsidized lockdowns.
1 sourceForbes - 2021
Former President Biden approved nearly $2 trillion in stimulus spending.
1 sourceForbes - May 17, 2026
Forbes published John Tamny's article questioning conservative definitions of inflation.
1 sourceForbes
Potential Impact
- 01
Debate may continue over whether government spending causes price increases.
- 02
Economists may revisit historical data on currency values during 2020-2022.
Transparency Panel
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