Substrate
politics

Economist/YouGov Poll: Trump’s Net Approval Among Independents at -38, Down From -20 Last Year

Economist/YouGov polling shows President Donald Trump’s net approval rating among independent voters at -38 in May 2026, an 18-point decline from May 2025. Aggregated trackers and averages from Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics and CNN also show the president underwater with the broader electorate.

Newsweek
uctoday.com
2 sources·May 9, 2:36 PM(20 days ago)·2m read
Economist/YouGov Poll: Trump’s Net Approval Among Independents at -38, Down From -20 Last YearNewsweek
Audio version
Tap play to generate a narrated version.
Developing·Limited corroboration so far. This page will refresh as more sources emerge.

President Donald Trump’s net approval rating among independent voters stands at -38 in early May 2026, according to an Economist/YouGov poll conducted May 1-4. The survey found 25 percent of independent voters approve of President Donald Trump while 63 percent disapprove.

That represents an 18-point drop from a net approval rating of -20 among independents in the May 2-5 2025 Economist/YouGov poll.

The same May 1-4 2026 poll recorded President Donald Trump’s overall net approval rating among all adults at -22, with 36 percent approving and 58 percent disapproving. S.

4 percentage points. S. 4-point margin of error. Trump’s net approval among independents reached -47 in November 2025 before a partial recovery in early 2026 that has since reversed.

The latest figures indicate that independents have moved more sharply against the president over the past year than the electorate as a whole. Newsweek reported that independent voters often prove decisive in competitive congressional districts and swing states.

U.S. Adults. Roughly 48 percent of respondents strongly disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance according to that tracker compiled by Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson. 8.

CNN’s Poll of Polls from April 16 to April 30 2026 put the president’s approval at 35 percent, disapproval at 63 percent and net approval at -28. President Donald Trump told Newsmax in a recent phone interview that his absence from ballots is distorting perceptions.

“It is a problem I'm not on the ballot. Everyone says if I was on a ballot, we'd win in a landslide. I have some of the best poll numbers I've ever had.”

— President Donald Trump White House spokesperson Davis Ingle has argued that the 2024 election outcome remains the most meaningful measure of public support. Davis Ingle described President Donald Trump’s policy agenda as “popular and commonsense.” He said the administration is focused on economic issues including jobs, inflation, and housing. Davis Ingle also described President Donald Trump’s record as historically significant. Newsweek reported that the divergence between independent and overall approval underscores how much of the recent movement has been concentrated among voters without strong party alignment. The data suggest any stabilization seen in early 2026 proved temporary.

Key Facts

Independent net approval at -38
25% approve, 63% disapprove in May 1-4 2026 Economist/YouGov poll of 1,573 adults; 18-point drop from -20 in May 2025
Overall net approval at -22
36% approve, 58% disapprove among all adults in same poll; down from -10 in May 2025
Silver Bulletin low
Net approval -18.9 overall and -20.6 among adults with 48% strongly disapproving as of May 8 2026
Trump response
Told Newsmax absence from ballot distorts numbers and that he has some of the best poll numbers he's ever had

Story Timeline

6 events
  1. 2026-05-08

    Silver Bulletin tracker updated showing net approval at -18.9

    1 sourceNewsweek
  2. 2026-05-01 to 2026-05-04

    Economist/YouGov poll conducted showing independent net approval at -38

    1 sourceNewsweek
  3. 2026-04-20 to 2026-05-07

    RealClearPolitics average compiled showing net approval of -15.8

    1 sourceNewsweek
  4. 2026-04-16 to 2026-04-30

    CNN Poll of Polls conducted showing net approval of -28

    1 sourceNewsweek
  5. 2025-11

    Trump independent net approval reached low of -47

    1 sourceNewsweek
  6. 2025-05-02 to 2025-05-05

    Prior Economist/YouGov poll showed independent net approval at -20

    1 sourceNewsweek

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    White House continues to cite 2024 election victory and focus on jobs, inflation and housing over current polling

  2. 02

    Aggregated trackers show durable negative trend despite some early 2026 stabilization

  3. 03

    Signals potential vulnerability for Republicans in 2026 midterms among swing independent voters

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced2
Confidence score75%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count362 words
PublishedMay 9, 2026, 2:36 PM

Related Stories

Trump Meets Advisers to Decide on Iran Ceasefire ExtensionBBC News
politics52 min ago

Trump Meets Advisers to Decide on Iran Ceasefire Extension

President Trump said he is holding a Situation Room meeting to make a final decision on a possible deal with Iran. The proposed agreement would extend the ceasefire by 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Al Jazeera
JA
MA
AF
AJ
+6
11 sources
Trump to Decide on Iran Deal in Situation Room Meetingmiddleeasteye.net
politics52 min ago

Trump to Decide on Iran Deal in Situation Room Meeting

President Trump said Friday he is heading into the Situation Room to make a final determination on a potential agreement with Iran. The proposed deal would reopen the Strait of Hormuz without tolls and require destruction of Iran's highly-enriched uranium.

LI
Just the News
CBS News
3 sources
Vietnam Clears Graves for Trump Organization Project in Hung Yen Provincebenzinga.com
politics52 min ago

Vietnam Clears Graves for Trump Organization Project in Hung Yen Province

Farmers in Hung Yen province are exhuming family graves to make way for a $1.5 billion Trump Organization development that includes hotels, villas and a golf course. The project, approved last year, has drawn local resistance over compensation levels and relocation of remains.

The Independent
1 source