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The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% in a divided 8-4 vote, marking the highest level of dissent since 1992. Outgoing Chair Jerome Powell announced he will remain on the Board of Governors after his term ends in May, citing ongoing legal concerns. President Trump criticized Powell, while the Senate advanced Kevin Warsh's nomination as the next chair.
SemaforThe Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady at a target range of 3.5% to 3.75%, marking the third consecutive meeting without a change. The decision came amid persistent inflation and rising energy prices, with the vote splitting 8-4—the most dissents since October 1992.
Officials noted that inflation remains elevated, partly due to recent increases in global energy prices. The meeting was likely Jerome Powell's last as chair, with his term set to expire on May 15. During a news conference, Powell stated he plans to continue serving as a governor on the Board of Governors, a position that extends until January 2028.
He cited concerns over legal attacks on the Federal Reserve as a factor in his decision.
One dissent came from Governor Stephen Miran, who favored a quarter-percentage-point cut. They objected to phrasing about "additional adjustments" to the rate target, which implied an easing bias. The Federal Open Market Committee's statement highlighted the need to assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.
This reflected ongoing challenges, including inflation at 3.3% in March—its highest in two years—and a 50% jump in oil prices since the U.S.-Israel war with Iran began on February 28. Brent crude rose more than 5% on the day of the decision, reaching about $118 a barrel.
“I will continue to serve as a governor for a period of time to be determined.”
Powell emphasized waiting until an investigation into Federal Reserve renovations is completed with transparency and finality. He described legal attacks from officials as unprecedented in the central bank's 113-year history. " The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh's nomination for Fed chair in a party-line 13-11 vote, with Republicans supporting and Democrats opposing.
The full Senate is expected to confirm Warsh, who would be the first new chair since Powell took over in 2018. Warsh has suggested potential rate cuts in anticipation of AI-driven disinflation.
The decision follows three rate cuts in 2025, with officials now projecting one more cut this year and another in 2027 to reach a neutral rate around 3.1%. Nonfarm payrolls grew by 178,000 in March, better than expected, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3%.
However, inflation has remained above the 2% target since late 2023, complicated by tariffs and energy costs. Markets reacted with stocks lower and oil prices higher. The hold was widely anticipated, with no changes priced in for the rest of 2026 or early 2027.
Powell congratulated Warsh during the news conference.
Powell's tenure has generally featured consensus, but recent meetings show divisions amid economic uncertainty. The incoming chair inherits a committee described as more hawkish than desired by some. Officials have warned about persistent inflation risks, shifting from an easing bias.
The Federal Reserve's statement acknowledged a healthy but not robust jobs picture. Private payroll growth averaged around 40,000 weekly in April, indicating stability. The central bank continues to balance its dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment.
“Inflation is elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase in global energy prices.”
Powell addressed the U.S.-Israel war with Iran, inflation, and Fed independence in his remarks. He plans to keep a low profile if remaining as a governor. The decision defies calls for sharper rate reductions.
These outlets didn't split into competing frames — coverage was uniform.
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