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Ford CEO Jim Farley told Fortune the U.S. is only in the second or third inning of addressing shortages that could limit AI growth. Goldman Sachs Alternatives estimates 760,000 additional power and grid workers will be needed by 2030 while projecting a 45 gigawatt power shortfall for data centers by 2028.
Ford CEO Jim Farley told Fortune that the data center boom is mutating into an energy crisis that is really a labor crisis. "Even if the data centers get built, there's still a huge question mark about how the energy sector will support them. And there's obviously going to be large shortages," Farley stated.
U.S. is in the second or third inning of taking the energy and labor crisis seriously, Farley said. U.S. is only in the second or third inning of grappling with it seriously.
Goldman Sachs Alternatives, which manages more than $625 billion in alternative assets, argues that companies capturing roughly 90% of AI’s profit pools today are chip designers, memory manufacturers, and semiconductor fabs. Power generation, grid infrastructure, high-voltage components, advanced cooling, and mission-critical services account for about 10% of AI-related earnings but 100% of the chokepoints, according to the firm.
The co-authors of the Goldman Sachs Alternatives paper are Leonard Seevers, Jason Tofsky, and Sydney McConathy.
Goldman Sachs estimates that agentic AI systems will be 60x to 130x more energy-intensive than the AI tools most people use today. Studies suggest agents use roughly 4x more computing tokens than standard chat interactions while multi-agent systems use about 15x more computing tokens than standard chat interactions. U.S.
Faces a projected 45 gigawatt power shortfall for data centers by 2028. In addition, 72 gigawatts of new power capacity are needed through 2030 for data centers. U.S.
AI-related capex is expected to surpass $750 billion in 2026. Goldman Sachs estimates approximately 760,000 additional power and grid workers will be needed by 2030. That includes 207,000 specialized transmission and distribution roles that will be needed by 2030.
Specialized transmission and distribution roles require three to four years of training. U.S.
Could go unfilled by 2030. Potential economic losses from unfilled skilled trades jobs could reach $1 trillion annually by 2030. U.S. construction workers is already older than 55 while roughly 39% of electricians are 45 or older.
Skilled trades are losing five workers to retirement for every two new ones entering the field. Nearly 600,000 jobs were advertised across major skilled trades last year while only about 150,000 new workers entered the labor pool through apprenticeships last year.
Farley stated that many of the real problems are in small companies and small businesses that don’t have the funding and that trade school is often offered as an option but it’s extremely expensive.
The combined EBIT of chips, servers, manufacturing, and memory is currently nearly 9x that of power, components, and data center services companies. Ford is launching an energy business and converting several factories in that direction, with workers needing to learn lithium iron phosphate chemistry, Farley stated.
"We are ourselves finding skilled trade shortages as we convert our automotive battery plants to energy storage battery plants in Kentucky and Michigan," he said.
Farley told Fortune that Ford's experience mirrors what is happening across the country with linemen, electricians and plumbers. "It won’t be just for data centers, it’ll be for transmission lines, off-grid energy sources," he added.
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