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Jet Fuel Prices Rise After Iran Conflict

The ongoing war with Iran and blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have disrupted global energy supplies, pushing Brent crude to average $100 per barrel since late February. Refiners have prioritized jet fuel production, reducing output of gasoline and diesel. JPMorgan analysts warned Friday that U.S.

Npr
New York Post
2 sources·May 8, 9:23 PM(19 days ago)·2m read
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Jet Fuel Prices Rise After Iran ConflictNew York Post
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The war with Iran and the resulting blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have sent jet fuel costs soaring, prompting airlines to raise ticket prices and fees while contributing to broader increases in gasoline prices. Brent crude oil has averaged roughly $100 a barrel since the conflict broke out in late February.

Refiners have focused production on jet fuel amid the supply disruptions, deprioritizing gasoline and diesel. 55 a gallon as of Friday, according to AAA, a 52% increase from pre-war levels. JPMorgan analysts led by Natasha Kaneva warned Friday that the jet fuel crisis sparked by the Iran war’s energy supply disruption makes the prospect of gasoline hitting $5 a gallon increasingly likely.

“The timing could hardly be worse,” the JPMorgan note said. ” Over the weekend higher jet fuel costs sent Spirit Airlines out of business. Airlines have warned that added jet fuel expenses could force further increases in ticket prices and checked bag fees.

2, according to a University of Michigan survey released Friday. 7% from a year earlier. 7. Joanne Hsu, director of the consumer survey, said in a statement that about one-third of consumers spontaneously mentioned gasoline prices and about 30% mentioned tariffs.

“Taken together, consumers continue to feel buffeted by cost pressures, led by soaring prices at the pump,” Hsu added. Middle East developments are unlikely to meaningfully boost sentiment until supply disruptions have been fully resolved and energy prices fall, according to the survey.

NPR examined the viability of sustainable aviation fuel and other alternatives as jet fuel prices remain elevated. The Strait of Hormuz carries about 20% of the world’s oil supply, and damage to Middle Eastern facilities threatens to keep energy prices higher for longer.

Refiners are eager to increase jet fuel output, but that typically results in less diesel and creates a ripple effect that could further pressure gasoline supplies, the JPMorgan analysts wrote. " — JPMorgan analysts, May 9, 2026 (New York Post) The blockade has limited global energy trade and hit jet fuel particularly hard among refined products.

Key Facts

$4.55/gallon
Current U.S. average gasoline price per AAA
$100/barrel
Average Brent crude price since late February
48.2
Record low consumer sentiment reading in May
20%
World oil supply carried through Strait of Hormuz
Spirit Airlines
Ceased operations due to jet fuel costs

Story Timeline

6 events
  1. Late February 2026

    War with Iran began, leading to blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

    2 sourcesNew York Post · NPR
  2. May 2026

    Brent crude averaged $100 per barrel since conflict start.

    1 sourceNew York Post
  3. Weekend before May 9

    Higher jet fuel costs caused Spirit Airlines to go out of business.

    1 sourceNew York Post
  4. Friday

    JPMorgan analysts warned $5 gasoline increasingly likely.

    2 sourcesNew York Post · NPR
  5. Friday

    University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey released showing record low of 48.2.

    1 sourceNew York Post
  6. May 9, 2026

    NPR aired segment on alternatives to jet fuel amid soaring costs.

    1 sourceNPR

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    Airlines will continue raising ticket prices and checked bag fees.

  2. 02

    U.S. gasoline prices are likely to reach $5 per gallon by Memorial Day.

  3. 03

    Refiners will increase jet fuel output at the expense of diesel and gasoline.

  4. 04

    Consumer spending on major purchases will remain suppressed.

  5. 05

    Consumer sentiment will stay near record lows until energy prices decline.

  6. 06

    Adoption of sustainable aviation fuel will accelerate in commercial aviation.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced2
Framing risk68/100 (moderate)
Confidence score74%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count348 words
PublishedMay 8, 2026, 9:23 PM
Bias signals removed3 across 2 outlets
Signal Breakdown
Amplifying 2Loaded 1

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