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Aviation fuel prices have surged since the war with Iran began, potentially driving U.S. wildfire suppression costs above $100 million this year. Private contractors operating most firefighting aircraft can pass on these increases to the government. Experts warn of possible fuel shortages amid dry conditions in the West.
Washington ExaminerAviation fuel costs have sharply increased since the outbreak of the war with Iran, threatening to push wildfire suppression expenses to $100 million or more, the Washington Examiner reported. The federal government leads suppression efforts on major wildfires, with roughly 500 aircraft used each year for these operations.
Those aircraft are overwhelmingly operated by private contractors, and most contracts include clauses that allow companies to pass rising fuel costs directly to the government.
Willis Curdy, a former aerial firefighting pilot who has battled wildfires from the air for nearly four decades, told NPR that the job demands far more from aircraft than typical commercial flying. 'This isn’t like climbing a 737 to cruising altitude,' Curdy said. He explained that aggressive, low-altitude maneuvers required on fire lines burn through fuel at a much faster rate.
'You’re constantly pushing the engines,' Curdy said. Water was dropped by helicopter on the advancing Palisades Fire in the Pacific Palisades neighborhood of Los Angeles on Tuesday, January 7, 2025. U.S.
Forest Service has set aside $45 million for aviation fuel in 2026. The agency spent $52 million on aviation fuel in the 2025 wildfire season. Much of the West endured unusually dry, even record-dry, winters in 2025-2026.
Brett L’Esperance, CEO of Dauntless Air, warned that supply shortages could become the real crisis for fuel. 'That’s what’s keeping me up at night,' L’Esperance said. U.S.
The California Energy Commission reports refinery stockpiles in California are at their lowest level in more than two years as of 2026. According to the American Petroleum Institute, California depends more heavily on imported oil than most states. Supplies of imported oil to California have been disrupted by the war with Iran.
'When things get really, really busy and scary in that late June, July, August, and September time frame, if we don’t have the fuel to respond, we just can’t respond,' L’Esperance said. President Donald Trump downplayed rising fuel costs last month. He argued that fuel prices remain manageable compared to the stakes of preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.
'Well, they’re not very high,' Trump told reporters two weeks ago. 'If you look at what they were supposed to be in order to get rid of a nuclear weapon, with the danger that entails. So the gas prices have come down very much over the last three, four days,' Trump said.
'We have to make sure that Iran does not have a nuclear weapon, because if they do, you want to talk about problems, you’d have problems,' he added. 39 a gallon on Friday, May 1, 2026, according to AAA. The national average gas price is more than 44% higher than when the war with Iran began.
06 a gallon as of May 1, 2026. Gas prices in California are up over 30% since the war with Iran began. 9 billion on fuel since the war with Iran started.
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