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Willie Walsh, head of the International Air Transport Association, told the BBC that airlines cannot absorb elevated oil costs, making higher ticket prices unavoidable. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz from the conflict in Iran has driven dramatic price increases, with effects likely persisting into next year.
BBC NewsHigher ticket prices for air travellers in Europe are inevitable because of the high cost of jet fuel, Willie Walsh, head of the International Air Transport Association, told the BBC. Although some airlines have cut their European fares recently because of a lack of demand, Walsh said there was no way airlines could absorb the extra costs over time.
"There's just no way airlines can absorb the additional costs they're experiencing," he explained.
The increase in fuel prices has already been reflected in the cost of long-haul flights, some of which have seen significant increases. Walsh noted that the disruption to crude oil supplies and damage to refining facilities in the Gulf meant that even if the Strait of Hormuz were to reopen now, fuel prices were unlikely to come down quickly.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz occurred as a result of the conflict in Iran and has had a dramatic impact on jet fuel prices.
Europe and the UK in particular are usually highly reliant on imports of jet fuel from the Middle East region. Walsh said that even if the Strait of Hormuz were reopened tomorrow, the impact of disruption caused by the conflict in the Middle East could still be felt into next year.
"Whichever way you look at it, I think this issue will continue for a number of months to come, and may indeed continue into next year," Walsh said.
He added that the major problem facing the UK is timing. Flights and fuel requirements normally increase 25% in July and August versus March. Walsh said that if sufficient alternative supply is not sourced, there may be some shortages in the peak summer period for the UK.
He said there was still concern the industry in the UK could face shortages of fuel over the summer but insisted there was no need to panic. A UK government spokesperson said UK airlines were not currently seeing a shortage of jet fuel.
The spokesperson added that fuel suppliers keep stocks of bunkered fuel to support their resilience. The UK government is working with the aviation industry to keep flights operating and is consulting on measures to help airlines plan realistic flight schedules which will avoid last-minute disruption and protect holidays.
Last week, the EU said there was no regulatory reason why US-grade jet fuel should not be used by European airlines, provided its introduction was managed carefully.
On Wednesday, EU energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen said he did not expect a serious shortage in the short term but could not rule out supply issues in the longer term. Sebastien Ebel, chief executive of the travel operator Tui, also said he did not expect shortages over the coming months. Tui sees summer sales fall 10% due to cautious UK customers.
BBC News reported that Walsh stressed widespread cancellation of flights could be avoided despite the pressures.
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