NBC News Poll Finds Democrats Lead Republicans 49% to 44% on Generic Ballot, Margin Unchanged Since March

A new NBC News poll shows Democrats leading Republicans 49% to 44% among registered voters on the generic ballot for control of Congress, with 7% unsure. The survey, conducted from May 29 to June 7 among 2,400 registered voters, carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points and was sponsored by the nonpartisan nonprofit More Perfect.

President Donald Trump’s approval rating stands at 42% among registered voters and 39% among all adults.

That figure matches the lowest mark recorded for Trump among registered voters in NBC News surveys during his first term, reached in July 2020. Republican support for Trump has softened since March. In the new poll, 82% of Republicans approve of his job performance and 58% say they strongly approve, down from 88% approval and 63% strong approval three months earlier.

Two-thirds of independent voters disapprove of Trump. Among demographic groups that moved toward Trump in 2024, sentiment has turned negative. Sixty-four percent of Latino voters disapprove of Trump while 34% approve, and 77% of voters ages 18 to 29 disapprove compared with 21% who approve.

Voters express broad pessimism about the country’s trajectory. Fifty-six percent say America’s best years are behind it, while 40% say the best years are still ahead. Majorities of white, Black, and Latino voters share that view.

Almost 80% of voters say the American Dream is harder to attain now than a generation ago, 17% say it is about the same, and 5% say it is easier. Confidence in federal institutions is low. Half of voters say they have very little or no confidence in the federal government, and 58% say the same about Congress.