One Nation support rises to 28% among Australian voters

One Nation’s primary vote share has increased from 6.4% at the May 2025 federal election to 28% in the most recent Essential poll, placing the party one point behind Labor. Redbridge polling places overall support at 31% and shows the strongest backing among people in their 50s, where 43% of respondents favor the party.

Economic pressures cited by supporters Wesley Jasper, a former military member now employed by a government organization, said he joined One Nation because of concerns over taxes, living standards, and the value of 35 years of work. He and his partner recently moved from Canberra to Ballarat to secure a mortgage after years of renting.

Ali Carter, 49, who lives in Echuca on the disability support pension while her partner works as a gardener and factory worker, said rising petrol and grocery prices have left the household with little margin even when overtime is available. She cited One Nation’s focus on domestic manufacturing and reduced foreign ownership as reasons for her support.

Home ownership and wage data Australian Bureau of Statistics figures show the share of outright home owners aged 45-54 fell from more than 40% in 1998 to 15% in 2020, while the proportion renting in the same age group rose from 12% to 21% over nearly three decades.

University of Melbourne economist Beth Webster reported that, after inflation adjustment, median hourly wages for the top 10% of earners rose 25% between 2014 and 2025, compared with a 10% increase for the bottom 10%. Redbridge director Kos Samaras said the newer One Nation voters are more likely to be renting in outer suburbs or regional areas and carrying larger mortgages than earlier supporters.