Substrate
politics

**One Nation Candidate Wins Farrer By-Election**

One Nation secured victory in the Farrer by-election with 57 percent of the two-candidate-preferred vote after the resignation of the longtime Liberal member. The result marks the first time a major party did not contest the seat and reflects a 33-point primary vote swing to One Nation.

The Guardian
nypost.com
BBC News
3 sources·May 10, 2:37 PM(19 days ago)·2m read
|
**One Nation Candidate Wins Farrer By-Election**The Guardian
Audio version
Tap play to generate a narrated version.

One Nation’s candidate won the by-election for the New South Wales seat of Farrer on Saturday, securing more than 57 percent of the final two-candidate-preferred count against an independent who received just under 43 percent. With almost all votes counted, the party’s candidate obtained nearly 40 percent of the primary vote.

The independent’s primary vote rose more than 8 points to just over 28 percent. The Australian Electoral Commission had forecast the contest would be decided between One Nation and the independent after Labor chose not to field a candidate, the first such occurrence since the current system began in the 1980s.

The result does not alter the Labor government’s large majority in parliament.

The combined primary vote for the Liberal and National parties fell to barely 20 percent. The Nationals, who did not run a candidate in the 2025 federal election for this seat, recorded a near-10-point swing toward them in the by-election. One Nation won 74 polling booths and took 60 percent or more of the primary vote at some smaller rural centers.

Gains were recorded across the entire seat, including in regional centers such as Albury, though they were larger in smaller rural areas. In the 2025 federal election One Nation had not finished first in any booth in the electorate.

Farrer covers 127,000 square kilometers along the Victoria-New South Wales border, an area larger than South Korea, and includes the regional centers of Albury, Griffith and Deniliquin. The electorate had been held continuously by either the Liberal or National parties since the current system began.

The independent’s improved performance was concentrated in the major centers, where she won 15 booths, mostly in Albury and one in Griffith. The sitting member whose resignation triggered the by-election had been ousted as leader of the opposition Liberal Party.

Both major Coalition parties installed new leaders earlier this year.

One Nation leader told supporters after the win that the party was “coming after those other seats.” The candidate, who has a background in agribusiness, told supporters the party had “reached the end of its beginning” and was now “re-carving the letters into the Australian democracy.”

Key Facts

57%
One Nation's two-candidate-preferred vote in Farrer
33 points
One Nation primary vote swing from 2025 election
20%
Combined Liberal-National primary vote in by-election
74 booths
One Nation won majority in this many polling places
First lower house seat
One Nation's inaugural win in House of Representatives

Story Timeline

4 events
  1. May 10, 2026

    Near-final results show One Nation winning Farrer by-election with 57% of two-candidate-preferred vote.

    3 sourcesThe Guardian · BBC News
  2. May 9, 2026

    By-election polling day takes place in Farrer following resignation of longtime Liberal member.

    2 sourcesThe Guardian · BBC News
  3. 2025

    Liberal member records strong primary vote in federal election before later resignation.

    2 sourcesThe Guardian · BBC News
  4. March 2026

    One Nation records second-highest vote share in South Australian state election.

    1 sourceBBC News

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    One Nation gains a seat in the House of Representatives for the first time.

  2. 02

    Liberal and National parties face further questions about their rural voter base.

  3. 03

    Right-wing vote appears to consolidate behind One Nation in regional electorates.

  4. 04

    Independent candidates can attract increased support in major regional centers.

  5. 05

    Labor government majority remains unaffected by the by-election outcome.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced3
Framing risk35/100 (low)
Confidence score85%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count355 words
PublishedMay 10, 2026, 2:37 PM
Bias signals removed1 across 1 outlet
Signal Breakdown
Speculative 1

Related Stories

Trump Meets Advisers to Decide on Iran Ceasefire ExtensionBBC News
politics46 min ago

Trump Meets Advisers to Decide on Iran Ceasefire Extension

President Trump said he is holding a Situation Room meeting to make a final decision on a possible deal with Iran. The proposed agreement would extend the ceasefire by 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Al Jazeera
JA
MA
AF
AJ
+6
11 sources
Trump to Decide on Iran Deal in Situation Room Meetingmiddleeasteye.net
politics46 min ago

Trump to Decide on Iran Deal in Situation Room Meeting

President Trump said Friday he is heading into the Situation Room to make a final determination on a potential agreement with Iran. The proposed deal would reopen the Strait of Hormuz without tolls and require destruction of Iran's highly-enriched uranium.

LI
Just the News
CBS News
3 sources
Vietnam Clears Graves for Trump Organization Project in Hung Yen Provincebenzinga.com
politics45 min ago

Vietnam Clears Graves for Trump Organization Project in Hung Yen Province

Farmers in Hung Yen province are exhuming family graves to make way for a $1.5 billion Trump Organization development that includes hotels, villas and a golf course. The project, approved last year, has drawn local resistance over compensation levels and relocation of remains.

The Independent
1 source