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The Pentagon Pizza theory posits that pizza deliveries to the Pentagon increase during major geopolitical events, based on historical observations and modern data tracking. USA Today reported that this indicator has drawn attention following President Donald Trump's ultimatum to Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by 8 p.m. on April 7.
Usa TodayThe Pentagon Pizza theory suggests that orders for pizza deliveries to the Pentagon rise in connection with significant geopolitical developments. D.C. The theory gained renewed interest after President Donald Trump issued an ultimatum to Iran, threatening action if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened.
The Pentagon Pizza Index, one of several accounts tracking deliveries, states that the theory is supported by historical anecdotes and modern traffic data. It notes that spikes in activity frequently coincide with elevated watch levels or major news events. The website uses Google Maps' popular times data to assess busyness at six pizzerias near the Pentagon.
The X account @PenPizzaReport provides frequent updates on elevated traffic levels at these pizzerias. On Monday, the account reported above-average traffic at several locations. m. for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz.
D.C. area, observed a sharp increase in late-night orders to the Pentagon and White House during Iraq's invasion of Kuwait. Meeks shared this observation with the Los Angeles Times. Alex Selby-Boothroyd, head of data journalism at The Economist, stated last year that the theory has served as a reliable predictor of seismic global events since the 1980s.
Skepticism persists regarding the theory's accuracy. Ryan Fedasiuk, a researcher in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University, described it as unreliable to USA Today via The Washingtonian. U.S.
intelligence and military facilities could stem from various reasons unrelated to government operations. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth referenced the theory in a statement earlier this year. He noted considering orders of Domino's pizzas to mislead observers.
Hegseth added that such actions could disrupt monitoring efforts while emphasizing the review of multiple indicators. The theory's background dates to observations during the Gulf War era, with modern tracking enabled by digital tools. U.S.
military readiness in geopolitical hotspots like the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil shipping route. Future monitoring may continue during tensions with Iran, though experts recommend contextualizing it with other signals. No immediate actions from the Pentagon regarding the theory have been reported.
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