Poll Shows 92% of Israelis Believe Iran Emerged Ahead After U.S.-Brokered Deal

A survey conducted by the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and the Agam Institute found that 92.1 percent of Israeli respondents believe Iran came out ahead in the recent conflict and the U.S.-brokered deal that followed. The poll, taken June 17–20 among 3,644 adults with a maximum sampling error of 2.2 percent, showed 82.9 percent saying the six-week military campaign left Israel's long-term security weaker.

Another 86 percent expressed negative views of both the way the fighting ended and the manner in which Washington negotiated the subsequent agreement without meaningful Israeli input.

88 percent of respondents said Israel either fell short of its stated objectives or achieved only partial success. The goals cited in the survey included dismantling Iran's nuclear program, reducing its missile arsenal, and toppling the government in Tehran.

Only 26.5 percent rated the prime minister's handling of the war as good or excellent, while 56.4 percent called it failed or poor. His personal approval rating fell from 40.5 percent in early March to 29.4 percent in June.

The same poll showed 72.5 percent rejecting the claim that Israel secured major gains and eliminated an existential threat. Among voters aligned with the prime minister's conservative bloc, 93.1 percent still concluded that Iran emerged the winner. Only 20.9 percent opposed that course.

A separate U.S. poll of 1,000 likely voters found 56 percent strongly or somewhat approving of the preliminary U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding, with combined disapproval at 13 percent. Officials in Washington have defended the agreement by stating that Iran would receive no U.S. resources unless it complies fully and alters its behavior.