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Poll Shows Democratic Candidate Leading Republican Incumbent in Maine Senate Race

A University of New Hampshire survey conducted May 21-25 found the Democratic Senate candidate at 51 percent support among likely voters, with the Republican incumbent at 42 percent. Six percent of respondents were undecided. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.

Fox News
1 source·May 28, 3:27 PM(1 day ago)·1m read
Poll Shows Democratic Candidate Leading Republican Incumbent in Maine Senate RaceFox News
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A new poll shows the Democratic Senate candidate holding a nine-point lead over the Republican incumbent in Maine's upcoming election. The University of New Hampshire survey, conducted May 21-25, found the Democratic candidate at 51 percent support among likely voters, compared with 42 percent for the Republican incumbent.

Six percent of respondents were undecided, and 2 percent backed other candidates. The poll was released two weeks before Maine's primary election. The Democratic candidate leads with 76 percent support in the Democratic primary, while the incumbent Republican faces no challengers for the Republican nomination.

The Democratic candidate is a veteran who served in Afghanistan and Iraq and works as an oyster farmer.

Democrats said they would support the Democratic candidate, while 87 percent of Republicans said they would back the Republican incumbent. The Republican incumbent held a 47 percent to 44 percent edge among independents. The Democratic candidate has faced criticism over past online comments and a tattoo obtained in 2007 that was later covered after it was found to resemble a Nazi symbol.

The candidate apologized for some of the online comments after they were reported last fall but declined to apologize when asked about a deleted post concerning a wounded soldier. A Democratic representative from Massachusetts stated this week that the candidate's tattoo and related commentary are personally disqualifying.

The Republican incumbent said in an interview earlier this month that voters would reach their own conclusions about whether the Democratic candidate is too far to the left.

Key Facts

51% to 42% lead
Democratic candidate leads Republican incumbent by nine points
May 21-25 poll
University of New Hampshire survey of likely Maine voters
76% primary support
Democratic candidate leads in own party's primary
2.6-point margin
Sampling error reported for the survey

Story Timeline

3 events
  1. May 21-25, 2026

    University of New Hampshire conducted the poll showing the Democratic candidate at 51 percent.

    1 sourceFox News
  2. Earlier this month

    Republican incumbent said voters would decide if the Democratic candidate is too far left.

    1 sourceFox News
  3. This week

    Democratic representative from Massachusetts called the candidate's tattoo and comments disqualifying.

    1 sourceFox News

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    The poll result may influence fundraising and campaign strategy for both candidates ahead of the primary.

  2. 02

    Continued attention to past comments could affect voter perceptions in the general election.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced1
Confidence score65%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count254 words
PublishedMay 28, 2026, 3:27 PM
Bias signals removed2 across 1 outlet
Signal Breakdown
Speculative 1Amplifying 1

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