Poll shows Latino voters split between parties ahead of 2026 midterms

A new UnidosUS poll shows Latino voters entering the 2026 midterm elections with economic concerns and divided partisan preferences. The survey of 3,000 registered Latino voters, conducted by BSP Research and Shaw & Company Research from April 27 to May 14, found 54 percent plan to vote for a Democratic House candidate, 27 percent for a Republican candidate, and 19 percent undecided.

The margin of error was 1.8 percent. The 54 percent Democratic share matches the party's performance among Latino voters in the 2024 House elections. Earlier cycles showed higher Democratic support: 60 percent in 2022, 63 percent in 2020, and 69 percent in 2018.

UnidosUS stated both parties are underperforming their 2024 levels among Latinos.

Trump support among Latinos One in four Latino voters who backed President Trump in 2024 said they would not vote for him again. That share rose from 9 percent in April 2025 and 13 percent in November 2025. Five percent of Latino voters who supported former Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024 said they would not vote for her again.

Sixty-seven percent of Latino voters disapprove of President Trump's job performance. The top issues cited were cost of living and inflation at 44 percent, immigration enforcement at 33 percent, jobs and wages at 26 percent, and the war with Iran at 25 percent.

Turnout and priorities Seventy-six percent of respondents said they are certain or almost certain to vote in November. The UnidosUS poll found 31 percent of Hispanic Democrats are motivated to support their candidates, compared with 52 percent of Hispanic Republicans.

Cost of living and inflation ranked as the top issue at 60 percent, followed by the economy and jobs at 40 percent, health care at 37 percent, and housing at 27 percent. Immigration ranked fifth at 21 percent. Sixty-eight percent of Latino voters said the country is headed in the wrong direction.

race In Texas, 51 percent of Latino voters said they plan to vote for or lean toward Democratic state Rep. James Talarico, while 24 percent favor Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton. The poll was conducted after Talarico won the Democratic nomination but before Paxton won the Republican nomination.