Redbridge Poll: One Nation at 31%, Labor 28%, Coalition 20% on Primary Vote

A Redbridge poll published on Sunday night showed One Nation at 31 per cent of the primary vote, ahead of Labor at 28 per cent and the Coalition at 20 per cent. Labor's primary vote fell three points and the Coalition's fell two points from the previous survey. Among millennials, One Nation recorded 30 per cent compared with Labor at 28 per cent.

One Nation's primary vote stood at 10 per cent among gen Z voters. Assessments of the budget were broadly negative across all demographics, with a plurality of voters saying it would be bad for the country and for them personally. Fifty-eight per cent of gen Z respondents said Australia was heading in the wrong direction.

Six per cent of gen Z said they had noticed a great deal about the budget, 47 per cent said they had not noticed very much, and 14 per cent said they had noticed nothing at all. Redbridge director Tony Barry said those who knew about the budget did not like it.

Treasury modelling released over the weekend showed home ownership has fallen by 3 per cent, or 280,000 homes, since the Coalition introduced the 50 per cent capital gains tax discount in 1999.

The government has stated that changes to negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount will enable 75,000 first home buyers to enter the market over investors. Treasurer Jim Chalmers said tax policy plays an important role alongside supply measures.

Housing Minister Clare O'Neil said the government faces challenges from an aging population, productivity problems, and young people who no longer expect to own a home.

Anthony Albanese maintains a six-point lead over Pauline Hanson as preferred prime minister overall. Among gen X voters, Hanson leads with 30 per cent compared with 27 per cent for Albanese and 14 per cent for Angus Taylor. Pauline Hanson told Sky News she would not rule out running for a seat in the House of Representatives at the next election.