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Civiqs polling shows President Trump's net approval rating below zero in every state with a Senate race rated toss-up, Lean Democratic or Lean Republican. The data covers 111,661 responses collected since January 2025.
NewsweekThe rolling online poll of registered voters recorded the lowest readings in Maine at -31 points and New Hampshire at -32 points. Ratings were also negative in Georgia at -21, Michigan at -20, North Carolina at -15, Alaska at -8, Iowa at -13, Ohio at -12 and Texas at -13.
Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority.
Democrats need a net gain of four seats to take control in November. The Cook Political Report rates the seats in Maine, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Georgia and Michigan as toss-ups or leaning toward one party. Democrats are defending seats in Georgia and Michigan while Republicans are defending seats in Maine, New Hampshire and North Carolina.
Four additional Republican-held seats in Alaska, Iowa, Ohio and Texas are viewed by Democrats as longer-shot targets.
Civiqs data shows Trump's approval rating has declined since he took office in January 2025. A Bureau of Labor Statistics report released this month recorded a 0.5 percent monthly price increase in May and an annual inflation rate of 4.2 percent, the highest since April 2023.
University of Massachusetts Amherst political science professor Raymond La Raja told Newsweek that the combination of inflation and higher fuel prices linked to the Iran war has contributed to the drop. Hofstra University executive dean Meena Bose said policy unpredictability and voter concerns over affordability also factor into the decline.
Alaska, a June 4-7 Alaska Survey Research poll of 1,393 likely voters showed former Representative Mary Peltola leading Senator Dan Sullivan 49 percent to 44 percent. The race is rated Lean Republican. An Emerson College poll conducted February 28-March 2 among 1,000 likely voters showed Ossoff at 48 percent and Collins at 43 percent.
The race is rated Lean Democratic. In Iowa, a Global Strategy Group poll conducted June 8-11 among 1,000 likely voters showed state legislator Josh Turek leading Representative Ashley Hinson by 2 points. The race is rated Lean Republican. University of Oregon political science professor Chandler James told Newsweek that candidate performance will remain the decisive factor regardless of national conditions.
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Los Angeles TimesAn Alaska judge on Friday overturned a state elections office decision that had disqualified a Republican primary candidate who shares the same name as the incumbent senator. The ruling found no statutory basis for a "good faith" standard and said the division lacked authority to…
Washington ExaminerIran struck Bahrain and a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz with drones on Saturday. The strikes followed a U.S. response to an earlier Iranian attack that violated a recent ceasefire. Bahrain condemned the action as a violation of its sovereignty.
Israeli officials announced they will send a delegation to Washington to present security interests on the Iranian nuclear file. The move follows an agreement between the United States and Iran that Israel did not join.