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U.S. CPI Rises 8% Year-Over-Year in April, Exceeding Forecasts

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% in April and 3.8% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts and dashing hopes for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. Bitcoin declined 1.2% over 24 hours and was trading at $80,621.04 shortly after the report. Markets continue to price in no rate cut at the June 17 meeting.

CoinDesk
1 source·May 12, 12:47 PM(17 days ago)·1m read
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U.S. CPI Rises 8% Year-Over-Year in April, Exceeding ForecastsCoinDesk
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U.S. inflation data came in hotter than expected on May 12, 2026. 8% year-over-year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 3% increase.

2% gain. 3%. 6%.

The hotter-than-expected readings reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady at 350-375 basis points at its June 17 meeting and likely through the end of the year. Markets continue to price in no Federal Reserve rate cuts for the June 17 meeting.

Ahead of the CPI data, markets were pricing in a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve would leave interest rates unchanged at its March meeting, according to the CME Fed Watch tool.

Bitcoin was trading at $80,814 following the news and later at $80,600 following the CPI report. 04 traded at $80,700 following the report. 2% over the past 24 hours.

S. 44%. WTI crude oil rose 3% on the day to $101, posing a threat to the markets. Kevin Warsh is set to be confirmed as the next Federal Reserve Chair this week, as he is expected to take over from Jerome Powell on May 15.

CoinDesk reported that the April CPI figures poured cold water on Federal Reserve rate cut hopes. m.

Key Facts

April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year
This exceeded economists' forecast of 3.7% and followed March's 3.3% reading, per Bureau of Labor Statistics data reported by CoinDesk.
Bitcoin traded at $80,621.04
The cryptocurrency declined 1.2% over 24 hours after the CPI release, trading between $80,600 and $80,814 in the hours following the report.
Core CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month in April
This beat forecasts of 0.2% and compared to March's 0.3% rise, with year-over-year core CPI at 2.8% versus 2.7% expected.
No Federal Reserve rate cuts priced in for June 17 meeting
Markets continue to assign near-certainty that rates will remain unchanged at 350-375 basis points.

Story Timeline

4 events
  1. 2026-05-12 12:47

    CoinDesk article published on hotter-than-expected April CPI data and Bitcoin reaction

    1 sourceCoinDesk
  2. 2026-05-12

    U.S. inflation data released showing April CPI hotter than expected

    1 sourceBureau of Labor Statistics
  3. 2026-05-15

    Kevin Warsh expected to take over as Federal Reserve Chair

    1 sourceCoinDesk
  4. 2026-06-17

    Federal Reserve meeting where markets price in no rate cut

    1 sourceCoinDesk

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    Bitcoin price declined 1.2% in the 24 hours following the CPI release

  2. 02

    Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts pushed further into the future

  3. 03

    U.S. stock index futures fell and 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.44%

  4. 04

    WTI crude oil rose 3% to $101 on the day of the report

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced1
Confidence score75%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count197 words
PublishedMay 12, 2026, 12:47 PM
Bias signals removed1 across 1 outlet
Signal Breakdown
Loaded 1

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