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UN Forecasts Record Global Temperatures Through 2030

The World Meteorological Organization says there is a 75 percent chance the 2026-2030 average will exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. All eleven hottest years on record have occurred since 2015.

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Al-Monitor
2 sources·May 28, 10:30 AM(1 day ago)·1m read
UN Forecasts Record Global Temperatures Through 2030france24.com
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Global average temperatures are likely to remain at or near record levels this year and for the next four years, the United Nations warned Thursday. 5 degrees Celsius above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average.

The 11 hottest individual years ever recorded all happened from 2015 onwards, the agency said. It added that a new hottest-ever year is likely before 2031. The forecast covers the period beginning in 2026 and extending through 2030.

The World Meteorological Organization based its assessment on current climate observations and model projections. No specific policy actions were outlined in the Thursday statement.

Key Facts

75 percent
chance 2026-2030 mean exceeds 1.5C above pre-industrial average
11 hottest years
all occurred from 2015 onwards
2026-2030
period covered by new UN temperature outlook

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced2
Confidence score59%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count102 words
PublishedMay 28, 2026, 10:30 AM

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