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Bank of America Report Projects 10x Productivity Gains From AI

Bank of America economists said AI could raise global productivity growth by one percentage point over the next decade. The bank noted current measured gains are only 0.1 percent annually. Other analysts cited in the report offered smaller estimates.

Fortune
1 source·May 24, 11:30 AM(5 days ago)·1m read
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Bank of America Report Projects 10x Productivity Gains From AItheweek.com
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Bank of America economists stated in a report published Thursday that AI could increase global productivity growth by one percentage point over the next decade. 1 percent annual productivity increase currently recorded in national accounts. The report calculated that AI can transform about 20 percent of workplace tasks, but only 23 percent of those tasks are cost-effective to automate at present prices.

1 percent.

America said the gap between task-level improvements and aggregate GDP statistics is documented in multiple studies. Software developers using AI tools complete 55 percent more work, customer-support agents resolve 14 percent more tickets, and professional writers finish projects 37 to 40 percent faster.

The bank compared AI to electricity and information technology, arguing that AI can affect a wider share of the economy and that small improvements can compound into larger aggregate effects.

S. 5 percent. He cited institutional constraints in government, healthcare, and higher education that slow adoption. Panmure Liberum strategist Joachim Klement wrote eight days earlier that hyperscalers are projected to spend $658 billion on capital expenditures in 2026.

Klement calculated that those investments would require an additional $2 trillion to $5 trillion in annual revenue to achieve a 10 percent return.

Key Facts

0.1% annual productivity gain
current measured effect of AI on GDP
20% of tasks transformable
share of workplace tasks AI can currently change
$658 billion capex
projected 2026 spending by hyperscalers
2% to 2.5% growth contribution
Tyler Cowen forecast for AI in U.S. economy

Story Timeline

3 events
  1. Eight days before BofA report

    Panmure Liberum strategist published analysis questioning AI investment returns.

    1 sourceFortune
  2. Thursday

    Bank of America released report projecting 10x productivity gains from AI.

    1 sourceFortune
  3. Thursday

    Tyler Cowen addressed AI growth contribution at Sana AI Summit.

    1 sourceFortune

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    Slower adoption in regulated sectors could extend the timeline for measurable productivity gains.

  2. 02

    Companies may increase capital spending on AI infrastructure if task automation expands.

  3. 03

    Reduced inference costs could raise the share of tasks that become economically viable to automate.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced1
Confidence score75%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count210 words
PublishedMay 24, 2026, 11:30 AM
Bias signals removed2 across 2 outlets
Signal Breakdown
Editorializing 1Loaded 1

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