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California Republican Who Voted to Impeach Trump Faces Toss-Up Race

Rep. David Valadao is running in a newly redrawn district rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report. Two Democrats are competing in the June 2 primary to challenge him in November.

New York Post
1 source·May 23, 1:31 PM(6 days ago)·1m read
California Republican Who Voted to Impeach Trump Faces Toss-Up RaceNew York Post
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Rep. ) is running for re-election in a district now rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report. The district covers Bakersfield and was redrawn after California passed a mid-decade redistricting measure. The report changed its rating after Democrats responded to similar redistricting actions in Republican-led states.

Trump carried the revised district by two percentage points in the last presidential election.

Democrats are competing in the June 2 primary under California's top-two system. Physician Jasmeet Bains has support from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, while political science professor Randy Villegas is backed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY).

Erin Covey of the Cook Political Report said Valadao faces a tougher district and political environment despite past over-performance.

Voted to impeach President Trump in 2021.

He later voted for a major Trump-backed bill that Democrats have criticized for including Medicaid reductions. His district has the highest Medicaid enrollment among Republican-held districts. The Democratic campaign arm has highlighted that vote in its messaging. Valadao's campaign did not respond to a request for comment. The White House also did not respond to a request for comment.

Key Facts

Cook Political Report rating
Valadao's race now rated pure toss-up
Trump margin
Carried redrawn district by two percentage points
Primary date
June 2 top-two primary in California
Medicaid enrollment
Highest among Republican-held House districts

Story Timeline

4 events
  1. January 2021

    Valadao voted to impeach President Trump over January 6 events.

    1 sourceNew York Post
  2. 2025

    California passed a mid-decade redistricting measure affecting Valadao's district.

    1 sourceNew York Post
  3. Last week

    Sen. Bill Cassidy lost his Republican primary after Trump endorsed a challenger.

    1 sourceNew York Post
  4. June 2

    Two Democrats will compete in California's top-two primary to face Valadao.

    1 sourceNew York Post

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is providing financial and organizational support to one primary candidate.

  2. 02

    Redistricting changed the partisan composition of the district by a net two-point margin.

  3. 03

    Medicaid enrollment data may become a recurring campaign issue in the district.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced1
Confidence score65%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count189 words
PublishedMay 23, 2026, 1:31 PM
Bias signals removed4 across 2 outlets
Signal Breakdown
Editorializing 2Loaded 2

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