Substrate
finance

DRC Sets Cobalt Export Quotas as Miners Cut Output and Pivot to Copper Production

The Democratic Republic of Congo has imposed annual cobalt export quotas of 96,600 tonnes for 2026 and 2027, replacing a 2025 ban, amid sharp price declines from oversupply. Producers are shifting capital to copper, where demand is rising and supply tightening, with Glencore reporting a 39% drop in cobalt output and 19% rise in copper in Q1 2026.

Bloomberg
Coindesk
OilPrice.com
3 sources·May 5, 11:00 PM(9 hrs ago)·2m read
|
DRC Sets Cobalt Export Quotas as Miners Cut Output and Pivot to Copper Productioncitizen.co.za
Audio version
Tap play to generate a narrated version.

The Democratic Republic of Congo has set strict cobalt export quotas, replacing its 2025 cobalt export ban with annual limits of 96,600 tonnes for 2026 and 2027. Producers in the country cut back on cobalt production after prices fell sharply due to heavy oversupply, moving capital into copper production instead.

The government requires unused Q1 2026 cobalt allocations to be shipped by June 30, 2026, or forfeited to the national strategic reserve.

Glencore adopted a copper-first strategy in the Democratic Republic of Congo, prioritizing copper production over cobalt. The company's cobalt output in the country fell 39% year-over-year in Q1 2026 to 5,800 tons, while its copper production increased 19% in the same period.

'Our DRC assets are now prioritising copper production as existing finished cobalt inventories are sufficient to fully deliver into near-term quota levels,' Glencore stated.

Copper demand is rising due to AI data centers, electrification, and electric vehicles, even as supply tightens from declining ore grades and mine closures. The Democratic Republic of Congo accounts for 70% of global cobalt supply. Cobalt prices reached more than $77,000 per metric ton in the post-Covid era but bottomed at $22,000 per metric ton in 2025.

Cobalt is used in rechargeable lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles and electronics, accounting for over half of global cobalt demand. About 99% of global cobalt production is sourced from copper or nickel mining operations, with only 1% from primary cobalt mines. This byproduct relationship has enabled miners to adjust output priorities amid market shifts.

In a separate market development, a New Mountain Capital private credit fund sold almost half-a-billion dollars of assets at a discount earlier in 2026. The fund used some of the cash from the asset sale to purchase beaten-down loans. The strategy is already paying off, according to reports on the fund's actions.

54 billion loss in Q1 2026. The Q1 2026 loss for Michael Saylor's Strategy was due to a declining bitcoin price. These financial moves reflect broader adjustments in volatile asset classes, paralleling the commodity shifts in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Key Facts

DRC cobalt export quotas
Annual quotas of 96,600 tonnes for 2026 and 2027, with unused Q1 2026 allocations forfeited if not shipped by June 30, 2026.
Glencore output changes
Cobalt output fell 39% to 5,800 tons in Q1 2026, copper production increased 19%.
Michael Saylor's Strategy loss
$12.54 billion loss in Q1 2026 due to declining bitcoin price.
New Mountain Capital fund actions
Sold almost half-a-billion dollars of assets at discount earlier in 2026, used cash to purchase beaten-down loans.
Cobalt market context
DRC accounts for 70% of global supply; prices from $77,000/mt post-Covid to $22,000/mt in 2025; 99% from copper/nickel operations.

Story Timeline

4 events
  1. Q1 2026

    Glencore's cobalt output in DRC fell 39% to 5,800 tons, copper production rose 19%; Michael Saylor's Strategy posted $12.54 billion loss; New Mountain Capital fund sold assets at discount and bought beaten-down loans.

    1 sourceunattributed
  2. 2026-2027

    DRC sets annual cobalt export quotas of 96,600 tonnes.

    1 sourceunattributed
  3. 2025

    Cobalt prices bottomed at $22,000 per metric ton; DRC imposed cobalt export ban, later replaced.

    1 sourceunattributed
  4. Post-Covid era

    Cobalt prices reached more than $77,000 per metric ton.

    1 sourceunattributed

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    Reduced global cobalt supply due to DRC production cuts and quotas, potentially stabilizing prices.

  2. 02

    Bitcoin price declines contribute to losses in crypto-related strategies, affecting investor sentiment.

  3. 03

    Increased copper output from DRC miners, helping meet rising demand from AI, electrification, and EVs.

  4. 04

    Financial strategies like New Mountain's asset sales may influence private credit market liquidity.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced3
Framing risk18/100 (low)
Confidence score86%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count343 words
PublishedMay 5, 2026, 11:00 PM
Bias signals removed2 across 2 outlets
Signal Breakdown
Loaded 2

Related Stories

Sen. Tim Scott Criticizes Fed Chair Powell's Plan to Stay After Term EndsThe United States Senate - Office of Senator Kelly Loeffler / Wikimedia (Public domain)
finance5 hrs agoFraming55Framing risk55/100Lede misdirection foregrounds Scott's criticism over Powell's substantive decision to stay on the Fed board amid investigations, burying the core event.Click to jump to full framing analysis

Sen. Tim Scott Criticizes Fed Chair Powell's Plan to Stay After Term Ends

Republican Sen. Tim Scott criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for planning to remain on the Fed's Board of Governors after his chair term ends on May 15, 2026. Scott said the move breaks 75 years of precedent and suggested it might be aimed at President Trump. Powell c…

cnbc.com
New York Post
RealClearPolitics
3 sources
finance1 hr ago

UAE Leaves OPEC After 60 Years of Membership, Reducing Group to 11 Producers

The United Arab Emirates departed the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on Tuesday, reducing the group's membership to 11 nations. OPEC members now account for about 33% of global crude oil output. The exit occurs amid high oil prices and the ongoing closure of th…

BBC News
The Guardian
OilPrice.com
3 sources
US, Japan, and South Korea Stock Indices Reach Record Highs Despite Iran War DisruptionsEuronews
finance3 hrs agoDeveloping

US, Japan, and South Korea Stock Indices Reach Record Highs Despite Iran War Disruptions

Major stock indices in the United States, Japan and South Korea reached new all-time highs this week, even as the war in Iran disrupts global energy markets and shipping routes. Oil prices stand at a four-year high, with 10-12 million barrels a day disrupted in the Strait of Horm…

Euronews
Semafor
2 sources