Report Estimates 12.2 Million UK Adults Face Pension Poverty Risk
A report estimates that 12.2 million UK adults aged 22 to 65 are not on track to cover basic financial needs in retirement. The figure represents an improvement from 15.3 million in the previous year. The analysis cited gains in pay, non-pension savings, homeownership and lower energy costs as factors.
A new report estimates that around 12.2 million adults across the UK are at risk of being unable to cover their fundamental financial needs during retirement. The analysis published by the company indicates a notable improvement compared to the previous year, when an estimated 15.3 million individuals were not on track to meet even the minimum required for their later years.
This positive shift has been partly attributed to individuals not saving into a pension experiencing gains elsewhere, such as pay rises, increased non-pension savings, or higher rates of homeownership, the report found. A reduction in energy costs has also contributed by lowering the benchmark for household living expenses.
The company cautioned that this progress could be reversed, as global events are already pushing energy prices upwards once more. The national retirement forecast incorporated retirement living standards established by Pensions UK, which are designed to help pension savers visualise their potential lifestyle in retirement.
The forecast projects retirement outcomes for people aged 22 to 65 based on their savings, behaviours and income sources. It compares expected income to potential living and housing costs in retirement and is based on a survey of around 6,000 people carried out by YouGov in February.
The report found that fewer than one in five full-time employees face pension poverty, whereas more than a third of those who are in part-time employment or are self-employed face a less than minimum retirement lifestyle. It added that focusing specifically on those with physical or mental health conditions that impact their day-to-day lives shows that fully half, or 50 percent, face pension poverty.
The company noted that those self-employed and those that work part-time jobs below the earnings threshold are not currently automatically enrolled in workplace pensions.
The company recommends policy measures including increasing the statutory level of saving into workplace pensions through automatic enrolment from 8 percent to 12 percent. It also called for creating an equivalent of auto-enrolment for the self-employed sector.
A spokesperson for the company said most people are unlikely to have enough in their pension pots alone to fund their desired retirement, so pensions can no longer be viewed in isolation. The spokesperson added that considering pensions alongside other savings, investments and housing wealth and advancing the Government’s open finance agenda will be key to improving retirement outcomes for all.
Another financial services spokesperson said the earlier individuals start planning, the more options and flexibility they will have later on. The spokesperson noted it is also important to consider how best to spread a retirement pot across a lifetime, especially as health and lifestyle needs change.
Key Facts
Story Timeline
3 events- February 2026
YouGov surveyed around 6,000 people for the retirement forecast.
1 source@Independent - 2026
Report estimates 12.2 million UK adults face pension poverty risk.
1 source@Independent - 2025
Previous report estimated 15.3 million adults at risk.
1 source@Independent
Potential Impact
- 01
Rising energy prices may increase the number of adults at risk of pension poverty.
- 02
Policy changes could bring more part-time and self-employed workers into automatic enrolment.
- 03
Greater integration of pensions with other savings and housing wealth could improve retirement outcomes.
- 04
Earlier retirement planning by individuals may increase available options in later life.
Transparency Panel
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