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Fed Officials See Rate Hike as Likely as Cut While Australians Support Gas Export Tax

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted an increase in officials viewing a rate hike as equally likely as a cut this year. Separately, a majority of Australians favor taxing gas export profits and extending the fuel excise cut amid rising energy costs. The poll reflects a shift toward renewable energy preferences over fossil fuels.

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The Guardian
5 sources·Apr 29, 3:00 PM(6 days ago)·2m read
Fed Officials See Rate Hike as Likely as Cut While Australians Support Gas Export TaxUS Federal Reserve / Wikimedia (Public domain)
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Wall Street traders now see a slightly higher chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike than a cut this year. Interest-rate futures indicate an 11% chance of a hike, up from 5%. This shift follows signals from policymakers. He described a vigorous debate on rate guidance during recent meetings. Powell added that the number of officials supporting a change to neutral bias has also risen.

Powell explained that the majority of the committee did not want to change the language on rates. He noted that the question on rate guidance was closer than in March. Powell said it was easy to see why some supported the shift. Interest-rate futures reflect these developments, with traders adjusting expectations. The probability of a hike now stands at 11%, surpassing the chance of a cut.

Number Of Officials Seeing Hike As Likely As A Cut Has Moved Up

Fed’s Powell, as reported by LiveSquawk.

A majority of Australians support taxing profits from gas exports. They also back extending the cut to the fuel excise. This comes despite the prime minister ruling out a new tax on existing gas export contracts. The poll shows more voters prefer shifting to renewable energy over sticking with fossil fuels.

Respondents reported cutting back on travel, switching to public transport, and reducing use of air conditioning and heating. These changes occur amid global fuel uncertainty.

The poll indicates Australians are adapting behaviors due to higher energy prices. Support for higher taxes on gas exports aims to address these costs. The preference for renewables highlights a broader trend away from fossil fuels. The poll was conducted amid ongoing fuel price pressures.

A majority of Australians support taxing profits from gas exports and extending the cut to the fuel excise

The Guardian, April 30, 2026.

These developments in the US and Australia reflect broader economic pressures. In the US, Fed discussions focus on balancing inflation and growth. Traders and officials continue monitoring economic indicators. Global fuel uncertainty influences both regions. Adjustments in behavior and policy expectations are evident in the data.

Key Facts

11%
chance of Fed rate hike per futures
Majority support
for Australian gas export tax
Increased officials
seeing hike as likely as cut
Renewable shift
preferred over fossil fuels in poll

Story Timeline

4 events
  1. Today — Recent Meetings

    Federal Reserve officials debated rate guidance, with more seeing hikes as likely as cuts.

    4 sources@DeItaone · @unusual_whales · @LiveSquawk
  2. Apr 30, 2026

    Guardian Essential poll released showing Australians support gas export tax and excise cut extension.

    1 sourceThe Guardian
  3. Apr 29, 2026

    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese ruled out new tax on existing gas export contracts.

    1 sourceThe Guardian
  4. March 2026

    Fed rate guidance question was less close than in recent discussions.

    1 source@Investingcom

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    US borrowing costs will rise if Fed hikes rates.

  2. 02

    Traders adjust portfolios anticipating Fed policy shifts.

  3. 03

    Australian government faces pressure to extend fuel excise cut.

  4. 04

    Gas export companies see potential tax policy changes.

  5. 05

    Renewable energy investments increase in Australia.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced5 — 4/5 share a lean
Framing risk0/100 (low)
Confidence score86%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count364 words
PublishedApr 29, 2026, 3:00 PM
Bias signals removed3 across 2 outlets
Signal Breakdown
Loaded 1Amplifying 1Editorializing 1

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