Iran and UAE Exchange Fire in Gulf

“The option is always there, and Iran knows that. And that’s why their choices in Project Freedom are important.”

Gen Dan ‘Razin’ Caine, chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, reported that Iran had fired at commercial vessels nine times and seized two container ships since the ceasefire began last month. He detailed that over 100 American aircraft provide continuous overwatch, involving about 15,000 service personnel.

Caine stressed that the U.S. military is prepared to resume major operations if necessary.

Martin Navias, a senior visiting research fellow at the Centre for Defence Studies at King’s College London, described Iran's actions as reckless but noted that the U.S. has not yet decided to force open the strait, which would require broader escalation.

He explained that while the U.S. has the capability, it would involve resuming strikes on Iran itself. Nitya Labh, a fellow at Chatham House's International Security Programme, called the U.S. push to assist shipping extremely risky and escalatory. She suggested it indicates unwillingness to negotiate terms for reopening the strait, forcing movement under threat of Iranian strikes.

Sir Keir Starmer condemned Iran's attacks and urged meaningful engagement in talks to sustain the ceasefire. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs analysts warned that Britain faces high exposure to jet fuel shortages from the conflict, due to reliance on imports through the closed strait and low domestic supplies.

The ceasefire, in place for over a month, followed more than two months of conflict involving the U.S. and Israel. U.S. officials highlighted the operation's success in guiding two U.S.-flagged merchant vessels through the strait without incident on Monday.

However, tensions with NATO allies have grown over perceived lack of support for the U.S.-led efforts. Iran's Ghalibaf wrote on social media that the current situation is intolerable for the U.S., while Iran has more actions planned. The UAE had briefly lifted airspace precautions before reinstating restrictions after the latest strikes.

“We know full well that the continuation of the status quo is intolerable for America, while we have not even begun yet.”

The Hill reported Araghchi's comments on progress in talks, contrasting with fears of collapse noted in other coverage. No direct contradictions emerged between sources on the key events, though emphases differed on the risks and U.S. intentions.