Odds of Clarity Act passage this year rise to 53% on Polymarket

A prediction market platform recorded the probability of the Clarity Act becoming law in 2026 at 53 percent. The platform updated the contract after new trading activity pushed the implied odds higher. No legislative vote or procedural change was cited in the update.

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares tied to specific outcomes. The Clarity Act contract covers whether Congress will enact the bill before the end of the calendar year. The 53 percent level reflects the current price of the contract share that pays if the bill passes. Earlier readings on the same contract had shown lower probabilities.