U.S. Expands Sanctions on Cuba

The Trump administration has increased economic and diplomatic pressure on Cuba while indicating that military action could follow if current measures do not achieve its objectives. Administration officials have described military force as a last resort. They have pointed to ongoing negotiations and stated that Cuba is seeking assistance from the United States.

New sanctions have been imposed and a blockade has been expanded, leaving Cuba without oil or diesel supplies. Surveillance flights over the island have increased in recent months. A U.S. official made an unannounced visit to Havana to meet with Cuban representatives. An indictment against Raúl Castro is scheduled to be announced on Wednesday.

One administration official said Cuba is asking for help and that the United States will provide assistance once current leaders leave power. Another official noted that Cuba remains on the list of state sponsors of terrorism, which could support further actions.

A professor at American University said economic measures are the main tool being used but that the threat of military action remains in the background. Top Republicans have stated there is no current appetite for ground troops in Cuba. They have said the country is already undergoing regime change and that American forces would not be needed if that occurs.

Any military operation could face challenges similar to those seen in the conflict with Iran. Prolonged action might also lead to a humanitarian situation and leave uncertainty about a successor government. Cuban officials have warned that a U.S. military operation would result in a bloodbath. The Cuban Embassy in Washington did not respond to a request for comment.