U.S. Stock and Bond Correlation Reaches Lowest Level Since 1999
The two-month correlation between U.S. equities and the 10-year Treasury yield fell to -0.70. The 30-day correlation also reached -0.68, the lowest in 27 years.
forbes.comS. 70. This marks the lowest level recorded since 1999. Over the past two months, stocks and the 10-year Treasury yield have moved in opposite directions by the largest extent this century. 40, near the highest level observed since 2023.
68, also the lowest reading in 27 years. During the 2022 bear market, the 10-year yield rose amid elevated inflation and Federal Reserve rate hikes while stocks declined. Bond markets are currently receiving significant attention from market participants.
Key Facts
Story Timeline
3 events- Start of 2026
Correlation between U.S. equities and 10-year Treasury yield stood at 0.40.
1 source@KobeissiLetter - Past two months
Correlation fell to -0.70, lowest since 1999.
1 source@KobeissiLetter - Past 30 days
Correlation reached -0.68, lowest in 27 years.
1 source@KobeissiLetter
Potential Impact
- 01
Investors may adjust portfolio allocations between stocks and bonds.
- 02
Market participants could increase focus on bond price movements.
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