forecasting
5 stories related to this topic, newest first.
nypost.comPrediction Markets Grow in Popularity as Accuracy Compared to Experts
Prediction markets including Polymarket and Kalshi have increased in use over recent months. Researchers are examining how their forecasts compare with those of subject-matter experts.
sbs.com.auEconomist Who Predicted Past Three World Cups Names 2026 Winner
German economist Joachim Klement, who correctly forecast the winners of the past three World Cups, stated his pick for the 2026 tournament during an interview with CBS News correspondent Ramy Inocencio.
ForbesMeteorologist Advises Checking Four Questions Before Sharing Hurricane Forecasts
A meteorologist outlined four questions to evaluate long-range hurricane model graphics shared on social media. The guidance comes one week before the June 1 start of the Atlantic hurricane season.
Substrate placeholder — needs review$9 Million Bet on US Measles Forecasts in Prediction Markets Since January 2026
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket have seen nearly $9 million in bets on US measles cases since January 2026. These markets, which originated from academic research, have shown some accuracy in forecasting disease outbreaks. Experts suggest they could provide useful data f…
Substrate placeholder — needs reviewConflict Increases Variability of Risk Forecasts, Officials Say
Officials reported that ongoing conflict has increased the variability in risk forecasts. This change affects projections and planning across affected sectors.