House Delays Action on Prediction Market Ban Despite Bipartisan Calls
House members and staff remain able to trade on prediction markets while the Senate and White House have restricted such activity. Several lawmakers have introduced measures to prohibit the practice amid reports of insider trading.
NprHouse members and staff can still place bets on prediction markets that allow wagering on sports, culture, policy, and elections. The Senate has already banned its members and staff from trading event contracts, and the White House issued an April memo advising federal employees against using platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Growing Calls for Restrictions Rep.
Torres introduced a bill last week that would bar campaign staffers from betting on their own candidates with unreleased information. He also signed a bipartisan letter urging House leadership to change chamber rules to end the use of prediction markets by members and staff.
Rep. Ashley Hinson, R-Iowa, proposed a similar ban earlier this month. She stated that Congress is not a casino and that members should not profit from prediction markets or stock trades using insider knowledge. Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries supports a House ban and has urged Speaker Johnson to bring a measure to the floor swiftly, according to his spokeswoman Christiana Stephenson.
House ethics rules do not mention prediction market bets, so members and staff are not required to disclose any profits from these trades. Current rules do require disclosure of profits from stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrency. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversees prediction markets and prohibits insider trading under the Commodity Exchange Act.
Some lawmakers and former regulators have said new rules may be needed to address bets on political and policy outcomes.
April, prosecutors charged a U.S. soldier with using classified information to win more than $400,000 betting on the removal of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. In May, NPR reported that a political campaign staffer earned thousands of dollars by betting on their own candidate using unreleased polling data.
Despite at least ten proposed bills addressing insider trading on prediction markets, the House has not moved forward on a rule change.
Key Facts
Story Timeline
4 events- April
Prosecutors charged a U.S. soldier with using classified information to win over $400,000 betting on Venezuelan leader removal.
1 sourceNpr - May
NPR reported a campaign staffer earned thousands betting on their own candidate with unreleased polling data.
1 sourceNpr - Earlier this month
Rep. Ashley Hinson proposed a prediction market ban for House members and staff.
1 sourceNpr - Last week
Rep. Torres introduced a bill banning campaign staffers from betting on their own candidates.
1 sourceNpr
Potential Impact
- 01
House members and staff could continue trading prediction markets without disclosure requirements.
- 02
Additional bills addressing insider trading on prediction markets may be introduced.
Transparency Panel
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