Poll Shows Likud Would Likely Win Fewer Than 20 Knesset Seats Without Netanyahu
A Maariv readers’ poll published Wednesday found that Likud would likely receive fewer than 20 seats in the Knesset if Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu were not leading the party. Among opposition voters, 42.4 percent said Likud would win between 10 and 20 seats, while 37.7 percent said it would receive fewer than 10. Only 8.3 percent believed the party could still secure 30 seats or more.
thenation.comA readers’ poll published Wednesday by Maariv indicates that the Likud party would likely fall below 20 seats in the Knesset without Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at its head. Among voters who support the opposition, 42.4 percent said Likud would receive 10 to 20 seats in such a scenario.
Another 37.7 percent said the party would win fewer than 10 seats, while only 8.3 percent said it could still reach 30 seats or more. No additional details on sample size or full methodology were included in the initial reporting.
Netanyahu remains the leader of Likud and continues to serve as Israel’s prime minister. The poll focuses specifically on projected Knesset seat counts for Likud in a hypothetical situation without him. The findings suggest a significant drop from the party’s current representation if Netanyahu were no longer in place.
The poll captures sentiment only among opposition voters and does not provide data on Likud supporters’ views.
Key Facts
Story Timeline
2 events- 2026-05-06
Maariv readers’ poll on Likud without Netanyahu is conducted and published.
1 source@Jerusalem_Post - 2026-05-07
The Jerusalem Post reports the poll showing Likud below 20 seats without Netanyahu.
1 source@Jerusalem_Post
Potential Impact
- 01
The poll may influence internal Likud discussions about party leadership succession.
- 02
Opposition parties could use the findings to argue for political change in Israel.
- 03
Results may affect donor and activist confidence in Likud without its current leader.
Transparency Panel
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