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politics

Trump Says 50/50 Chance of Iran Deal, Will Decide by Sunday

President Trump said Saturday he is weighing a peace agreement with Iran and will decide by May 24 whether to resume strikes. He plans to meet U.S. negotiators and Gulf leaders before making a final call.

nypost.com
The Guardian
NPR
4 sources·May 23, 5:25 PM(5 days ago)·1m read
Trump Says 50/50 Chance of Iran Deal, Will Decide by Sundaynypost.com
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President Trump said Saturday it is a “solid 50/50” whether he will reach a peace agreement with Iran and will likely decide by May 24 whether to resume military action. Trump told Axios he would meet later that day with special envoy Steve Witkoff and adviser Jared Kushner to review Iran’s latest proposal. m. to discuss the situation.

Marco Rubio, speaking in New Delhi, told reporters “there may be news later today” but added he was not certain. ” Negotiators from Pakistan and Qatar visited Tehran on Friday. Pakistani Field Marshal Asim Munir met Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and President Masoud Pezeshkian before departing Saturday.

A Qatari delegation also held talks aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Israel and Iran has been in place since early April. Iran’s latest proposal includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz, releasing frozen assets and extending talks by 30 days. Trump has said any final agreement must prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.

>"There’s been some progress done, some progress made. " — Marco Rubio, May 23, 2026 (The Guardian) Iranian officials said positions had moved closer in recent days, while Ghalibaf warned that any resumption of fighting would bring a stronger response. S.

has continued preparations for possible renewed strikes even as talks continue.

Key Facts

May 24
deadline for Trump’s Iran decision
50/50
odds Trump gave for reaching a deal
Steve Witkoff
U.S. special envoy meeting with Trump
Jared Kushner
adviser joining Iran talks review

Story Timeline

4 events
  1. Friday

    Qatari and Pakistani delegations met Iranian officials in Tehran.

    3 sourcesNew York Post · The Guardian
  2. Saturday morning

    Trump said he would decide by May 24 on an Iran deal or renewed strikes.

    3 sourcesnypost.com · New York Post · The Guardian
  3. Saturday

    Rubio told reporters in India there may be news later in the day.

    3 sourcesNew York Post · The Guardian
  4. Saturday

    Pakistani Field Marshal Asim Munir left Tehran after meetings with Iranian leaders.

    3 sourcesNew York Post · The Guardian

Potential Impact

  1. 01

    A resumed U.S. military campaign would target Iranian missile and nuclear sites.

  2. 02

    Reopening the Strait of Hormuz would restore roughly one-fifth of global oil transit.

  3. 03

    Extended talks could delay any new U.S. strikes for at least 30 days.

Transparency Panel

Sources cross-referenced4
Confidence score74%
Synthesized bySubstrate AI
Word count223 words
PublishedMay 23, 2026, 5:25 PM
Bias signals removed2 across 2 outlets
Signal Breakdown
Speculative 1Amplifying 1

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