Topic
kalshi
60 stories related to this topic, newest first.
news.sky.comtechnology3 hrs ago
Kalshi Blocks Most Campaign Staff Trades but One Staffer Completed a Bet on Their Race
Kalshi cross-references Federal Election Commission records to flag and block campaign staffers from trading on their own races. The company reported blocking dozens of attempts since May 2026. At least one operative listed in FEC data placed a trade despite the system.
livemint.comai1 day ago
OpenAI Proposed 5% U.S. Government Stake in 2025
Cnbc reported that OpenAI offered the Trump administration a 5% stake. Kalshi traders assign less than 30% odds the government takes equity in OpenAI or Anthropic this year. Similar probabilities exceed 60% for several quantum and semiconductor firms.
Semaforworld6 days ago
Spotify requests removal of its logo from two prediction market sites
Spotify asked Kalshi and Polymarket to remove its logo after users allegedly manipulated streaming data to influence wagers. The company also deleted 500,000 streams from one song linked to the activity.
coindesk.comfinance9 days ago
Kalshi Traders Place Lower Odds Than Consensus on June Jobs Above 100,000
Kalshi traders assign less than 60 percent probability that Thursday's nonfarm payrolls will exceed 100,000 jobs, below the Dow Jones consensus forecast of 118,000. May nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000.
New York Postpolitics12 days ago
Kalshi Gave Trump Jr. $300,000 in Shares After He Joined as Adviser
Prediction market Kalshi transferred about $300,000 worth of shares to Donald Trump Jr. after he became a strategic adviser early last year. The transfer occurred when the company was valued below $2 billion.
CoinDeskbusiness14 days ago
Kalshi Seeks Funding at Roughly $40 Billion Valuation, Nearly Double Prior Target
The prediction market operator targets nearly double its prior $22 billion valuation. The round could close in the third quarter of 2026.
nypost.comfinance14 days ago
Prediction market operator sues Illinois governor over new state law
Kalshi filed suit against Illinois Governor Pritzker and state officials, arguing that federal oversight supersedes a state law scheduled to take effect July 1. The complaint seeks to block enforcement of the measure.
New York Posttechnology15 days agoUpdated
Meta Is Developing a New Prediction-Markets App Called Arena
Meta is building an experimental prediction markets app called Arena. Mark Zuckerberg directed the project, which aims to rival Polymarket and Kalshi. The app may start with a points system before considering real currency.
coindesk.comfinance17 days ago
CME Group Sues CFTC to Overturn Kalshi Perpetual Futures Approval
CME Group filed suit on June 19 alleging the CFTC failed to analyze whether Kalshi's perpetual futures contracts qualify as futures or swaps under the Dodd-Frank Act.
bbc.co.uksports18 days ago
Kalshi and Polymarket roll out celebrity athlete ads ahead of World Cup and NBA Finals
@CBSNews reported that Kalshi has launched athlete-focused campaigns to build awareness as it targets sports bettors during the NBA Finals and FIFA World Cup.
freepressjournal.inworld19 days ago
Kalshi Launches Celebrity Ads With Messi and Chalamet to Boost Sports-Betting Audience
@CBSNews reported that Kalshi launched athlete-focused campaigns tied to the NBA Finals and FIFA World Cup. The platform also signed a multi-year deal with actor Timothée Chalamet.
forbes.comworld19 days ago
Kalshi and Polymarket Launch Athlete Ad Campaigns Ahead of World Cup and NBA Finals
The prediction market platform has signed deals with Lionel Messi, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Luka Modrić and others to promote its sports-focused trading products.
betakit.combusiness20 days ago
Wealthsimple Strikes Deal With Kalshi to Offer Prediction Market Bets
The agreement will let Canadian users place bets on interest rate decisions, stocks, and weather through Wealthsimple's platform.
MA
decrypt.cosports22 days ago
Prediction Markets Draw New Bettors Ahead of 2026 World Cup
Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket have grown in popularity since the last World Cup. Bettors can now wager on match outcomes and tournament results through these platforms. The 2026 tournament marks the first major soccer event since their expansion.
New York Postfinance23 days ago
Oil Prices Ease After U.S.-Iran Interim Deal While Hormuz Traffic Recovery Stays Slow
Traders on Kalshi see only a 59 percent chance of normalized traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by August and 82 percent by year-end. Markets point to mines, congestion and insurance issues as ongoing constraints.
DE
ai23 days ago
Kalshi Deploys Internal AI Agent Harrison for Contract Design
The prediction market platform has developed an AI system to assist with contract creation and risk assessment as trading volume grows.
DE
thehindubusinessline.comfinance25 days ago
Coalition sues Kentucky over 14.25% prediction market tax
A coalition including Kalshi, Crypto.com and Polymarket filed suit Friday against Kentucky's new excise tax on prediction market operators. The 14.25% levy applies to transaction fees and exceeds the state's 9.75% tax on horse-track wagers.
cointelegraph.comfinance26 days ago
Kalshi Launches CFTC-Regulated Crypto Perpetual Contracts
Kalshi introduced crypto perpetual contracts under CFTC oversight, prompting debate over whether the products qualify as futures or swaps.
BBC Newsbusiness28 days agoUpdated
Kalshi Implements Employer Disclosure Rules on High-Risk Prediction Markets to Screen Presumptive Insiders
The prediction market operator will collect work information from users on markets it flags for insider-trading risk and will screen out presumptive insiders before trades are placed.
CoinDeskfinance28 days ago
CFTC Proposes First U.S. Prediction Market Rule for Public-Interest Reviews
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued a notice of proposed rulemaking on Wednesday that outlines a process for reviewing whether event contracts meet the federal public-interest standard. The proposal covers contracts on prediction market platforms including those opera…
New York Posttechnology29 days ago
Kalshi Adopts Employer Verification and Risk Scoring for Insider-Risk Prediction Markets
Kalshi will require users placing certain wagers to disclose their employers starting in the coming weeks. The policy targets markets with elevated insider-trading or manipulation risk.
app.buzzsumo.compolitics29 days ago
Kalshi Mandates Employer Disclosure on Sensitive Markets and Adds Whistleblower Tools After Polymarket Insider-Trading Case
The prediction market platform introduced employment verification and risk scoring for sensitive contracts effective immediately after its advisory committee recommended tighter controls.
usethebitcoin.combusiness29 days ago
Kalshi to Collect Employment Data, Bar Presumptive Insiders from High-Risk Prediction Markets
Kalshi said Tuesday it will require employment information from users trading in markets scored for insider-trading risk and will bar presumptive insiders from those contracts.
theconversation.comworld29 days ago
Kalshi to Require Employment Data for Certain Event Contracts
The prediction market platform will collect employment information from users placing bets on contracts tied to companies or economic indicators. The measure aims to reduce the risk of insider trading on its platform.
pymnts.comfinance29 days ago
Kalshi Launches Crypto Perpetual Futures, Hits $1B Notional Volume in First Week
Kalshi's new perpetual futures contracts crossed $1 billion in notional trading volume within seven days of their Wednesday launch, including more than $100 million in the first 24 hours.
DE
Semaforworld29 days ago
Spanish Soccer Club's Relegation Insurance Traded on Kalshi Prediction Market
A Spanish soccer team's insurance policy against relegation was transferred to the Kalshi prediction market after being placed with a broker. The club said it had no knowledge of the transfer and did not place a bet.
politics30 days ago
Kalshi and Polymarket bar paid creators from questioning election results
The two prediction-market platforms updated policies to prohibit affiliates from denying election outcomes or spreading related claims. The companies asked some creators to remove posts or lose sponsorship after recent California primary coverage.
usethebitcoin.comworld30 days ago
Prediction Markets Grow Rapidly Among Young Men, But Most Users Lose Money Amid Insider-Trading Cases
CBS News reported that young men make up the majority of users on major prediction market platforms. Data shows six in ten Kalshi users are between 18 and 34, with roughly three million of four million active accounts belonging to men.
New York Posttechnology30 days ago
Prediction Markets Ask Influencers to Remove Posts Questioning Los Angeles Election Results
Kalshi and Polymarket directed paid partners to delete social media posts that cast doubt on the outcome of the Los Angeles mayoral election. The platforms cited internal rules that prohibit affiliates from questioning the integrity of election results.
cnbc.comfinance30 days ago
Kalshi Traders Raise Odds of Prolonged Hormuz Disruption to 66% Through 2027 as Iran and Israel Signal Ceasefire
Prediction market odds on Kalshi show a sharp drop in expectations for normal shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz before August. The shift follows renewed attacks between Iran and Israel.
Semafortechnology33 days ago
Kalshi asks paid influencers to delete posts on Los Angeles mayoral election
Kalshi directed some paid influencers to remove X posts that questioned the integrity of the Los Angeles mayoral primary. The posts promoted prediction market odds while suggesting late mail-in ballots were being counted unfairly.
Substrate placeholder — needs reviewtechnology33 days ago
House Administration Committee Chair Works on Bill to Ban Lawmakers from Election Prediction Market Bets
Rep. Bryan Steil said he is drafting legislation that would prohibit current and former federal lawmakers and candidates from betting on elections and policy outcomes on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The measure would be attached to a separate bill already approved by…
nbcnews.comworld34 days ago
Federal agencies examine former congressman's prediction market trades
The Justice Department and Commodity Futures Trading Commission opened investigations into a former congressman's activity on the prediction market Kalshi. The reporter who disclosed the probes received a call from the subject containing a threat that was later denied in a text m…
Semaforworld34 days ago
Spanish Soccer Club Hedged Relegation Risk With Multimillion-Dollar Kalshi Bet, Then Won Final Game to Stay in La Liga
Owners of a La Liga club facing relegation bet against their own team on Kalshi. The club won its final match 1-0 and stayed in the top tier.
cryptoslate.comfinance34 days ago
Kalshi Launches Crypto Perpetual Futures on Prediction Market Platform
Kalshi is testing a new interface that lets high-volume traders track volumes, order books, and multiple positions in one view. The product is in alpha testing and has no announced launch date.
IN
forbes.comfinance35 days ago
George Santos Places Bet on Polymarket About His Event Attendance
The prediction platform is terminating its contract after Kalshi flagged trades on whether Santos would attend the State of the Union. Federal regulators have opened an investigation into possible insider trading.
cryptoninjas.netfinance35 days ago
Kalshi Launches Bitcoin Perpetual Futures, Discloses No Contract Specifications or Margin Rules
Kalshi Inc. has introduced Bitcoin perpetual futures trading, the first such American product, now available exclusively on its platform.
DE
forbes.comfinance35 days ago
Prediction Market Gave 75% Odds of Santos Missing State of the Union; Kalshi Reports Trades to DOJ and CFTC
Kalshi referred former Rep. George Santos to federal authorities after detecting suspicious trades ahead of President Donald Trump’s Feb. 24 State of the Union address. The platform also reported the trades to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
New York Postpolitics35 days ago
DOJ Investigates Santos' Kalshi State of the Union Bet
Federal authorities are examining whether the former New York congressman placed bets on a prediction market about his own presence at President Trump's February address. The inquiry centers on possible insider trading on the Kalshi platform.
Nbc Newsworld35 days ago
George Santos Bet Against Attending State of the Union on Kalshi; DOJ Opens Inquiry
Federal prosecutors are examining wagers Santos placed on a prediction market about whether he would attend President Trump’s February address. Kalshi flagged the activity to both the Justice Department and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
winnipegfreepress.comscience36 days ago
Kalshi Accepts Bets on Santos State of the Union; CFTC Launches Probe, Polymarket Cuts Ties
The prediction platform terminated its contract after Santos placed wagers on Kalshi about his own attendance at the February 24 State of the Union address. Federal regulators opened an insider-trading investigation.
Benzingafinance36 days ago
George Santos Says He Will Attend State of the Union, Profits When Plans Change; No Federal Probe
George Santos placed a bet on Kalshi that he would not attend President Trump's February State of the Union address after publicly stating he would be present. Rival platform Polymarket ended its paid influencer contract with Santos over the allegations.
ABC Newsworld36 days ago
George Santos Places $1,000 Bet on His Own Congressional Schedule on Kalshi
U.S. officials are examining whether George Santos placed bets on a prediction market about his own attendance at the February State of the Union address. The inquiry centers on possible insider trading on the Kalshi platform.
ABC Newsworld36 days ago
DOJ Probes Possible Insider Trading in George Santos' Kalshi Bet on Attending Trump Speech
Officials are examining whether George Santos placed bets on a prediction market using non-public information about his own attendance at a February address.
nypost.compolitics36 days agoUpdated
Trader Predicts Santos Will Miss State of the Union, Moves Kalshi Market
Federal prosecutors are examining whether the former New York congressman traded on inside knowledge of his own plans for the February 24 address.
nypost.comscience36 days ago
Prediction Markets Grow in Popularity as Accuracy Compared to Experts
Prediction markets including Polymarket and Kalshi have increased in use over recent months. Researchers are examining how their forecasts compare with those of subject-matter experts.
NA
CoinDeskfinance40 days agoUpdated
Minnesota Enacts Ban on Prediction Markets; Kalshi Sues
Kalshi filed a federal lawsuit against Minnesota seeking to stop enforcement of a new state law that will criminalize operating and advertising prediction market platforms starting August 1. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed a similar motion on May 19.
app.buzzsumo.comfinance41 days ago
Kalshi Launches American Power Index Tracking Political Control
Prediction market platform Kalshi introduced a new index that combines congressional and presidential control with market forecasts. The measure produces a single score ranging from +50D to +50R.
DE
Benzingafinance42 days ago
Kalshi Adds Art Auction Contracts to Prediction Market Platform
Kalshi introduced event contracts tied to art auction prices on Tuesday. The new markets cover individual lot sales and annual records at major houses. Traders can now wager on whether any work exceeds current benchmarks.
bbc.co.ukpolitics43 days ago
Milwaukee Bucks Forward Places $36,069 Bet on Los Angeles Mayoral Candidate
Kyle Kuzma placed the wager on Spencer Pratt through the prediction market Kalshi. The bet would pay $133,588.89 if Pratt wins the June 2 primary. Kuzma posted the transaction on X on May 25, 2026.
CoinDeskpolitics47 days ago
House Oversight Committee Opens Insider Trading Probe Into Prediction Markets
The House Oversight Committee is investigating Kalshi and Polymarket after concerns that government employees may have used nonpublic information to profit on event contracts. Chairman James Comer sent letters Friday requesting internal records on identity verification and tradin…
upi.comfinance47 days ago
House Oversight Committee Opens Probe Into Prediction Market Insider Trading
The House Oversight Committee is examining Kalshi and Polymarket after reports of large, well-timed bets on geopolitical events. Lawmakers requested internal documents on trading surveillance and account verification.
WA
usethebitcoin.comfinance47 days ago
Companies Invest in Prediction Markets Despite Regulatory Uncertainty
States and the federal government are disputing regulatory authority over prediction markets. Companies including Flutter Entertainment, DraftKings, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood have stated they will continue expanding their platforms.
usethebitcoin.comfinance50 days ago
Kalshi Markets Show Rising Odds of Federal Reserve Rate Hike Before July 2027
Kalshi prediction markets now indicate higher probabilities of a Federal Reserve rate increase before July 2027. The shift follows recent inflation concerns, higher oil prices, and continued U.S. economic growth.
DE
thehindubusinessline.comfinance50 days ago
Kalshi Predicts Wider Use of Prediction Markets in Finance
Kalshi Legal Counsel Valeria Vouterakou said prediction markets are gaining institutional adoption and platform integrations. The company cited links with Interactive Brokers and traditional exchanges as evidence of mainstreaming.
citizen.co.zapolitics51 days ago
Kalshi Announces $2 Million Donation to National Council on Problem Gambling
Kalshi will provide $2 million over two years to the National Council on Problem Gambling. The funds support a new initiative on trader health and safety. The announcement comes as prediction markets expand and face regulatory questions from state officials.
ndtv.comworld53 days ago
Regulators Seek Data from Kalshi and Polymarket on Political and Military Wagers
U.S. regulators have requested information from prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket regarding bets on political events and military operations. The inquiries focus on compliance with existing rules governing such contracts.
finance55 days ago
Interactive Brokers to Offer Election, Climate and Economic Event Contracts via Partnership With Kalshi, CME Group and ForecastEx
Interactive Brokers is launching a prediction-markets platform that lets users trade yes-or-no contracts on elections, climate and the economy. Founder Thomas Peterffy said institutional interest is rising, particularly for hedging commodities and climate-related risks. Kalshi re…
DE
nypost.compolitics56 days ago
Democrats' House Flip Odds Decline After Southern States Redraw Maps
Prediction markets have lowered the probability of Democrats gaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms following redistricting in several Republican-led Southern states. Kalshi's odds fell from 86 percent in mid-April to 74 percent, while Polymarket's dropped from 87 percent…
etftrends.comfinance60 days ago
SEC Extends Review Period for 24 Proposed Prediction-Market ETFs
The Securities and Exchange Commission halted the automatic effectiveness of 24 prediction markets ETFs on Tuesday, just before their 75-day window expired. Roundhill Investments, Bitwise and GraniteShares had sought to offer funds tied to elections, economic data and other real-…